NFL Picks: Giants vs. Bears Betting the Spread

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, October 8, 2013 6:18 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 8, 2013 6:18 PM UTC

New York has yet to scratch in the win column this season, while Chicago is losing defensive linemen like rain drops on a typical Seattle rainy day.

Read our Daily NFL Week 6 Betting Odds Report for a brief look at this week's football games!

What looked like a rollover for those making sports picks is -at least by injuries- not as simple as it first appeared.

The “Next Up” coach-speak getting ridiculous for Chicago

With defense tackle Henry Melton gone of the season, the Bears could ill afford to lose another defensive lineman, but they did anyways with Nate Collins suffering a knee injury. With Stephen Paea battling a turf toe, Chicago defensive coaches might have to hold a ‘meet and greet’, getting to better know young players like Zach Minter and Landon Cohen and having the Bears front office search for available linemen to help.

Against an inefficient offensive line like the Giants, Chicago or any team would want to feast on New York, but this might not be the case for the Bears on Thursday.

The Bears have to come out of hibernation faster

As mentioned in my Opening Odds Report for this Thursday encounter, Chicago has been sluggish like a real bear after spending the winter hibernating. The offense and defense makes what now have to be considered sloppy mistakes this far into the season and these Bears have trailed three times at the half in their five contests.

Against a team that ready to be taken in a moment’s notice, Marc Trestman has to make certain his squad is ready from the opening kickoff.

The Giants are on record pace

The marketing people over at Pillsbury, ever alert to the latest trends, are considering a new product for their microwave dessert line. It is an extra large turnover, not quite as big as a pie, but still large, filled with yummy goodness in the middle. The working title at the moment for this turnover is the New York Giant.

This football team has committed 20 turnovers in just five games, which places them ahead of the 1978 San Francisco 49ers, which holds the record for giving the ball to the other team with 63.

The Bears defensive line might have to wear name tags just to get to know each other, but if the Giants continue to hand the ball over, it might not matter.

Eli Manning has helped the G-Men to a pair of Super Bowl victories, but his play this season has been pathetic and is eroding.

Sportsbooks NFL Odds and Matchup Numbers

The original NFL betting odds were Chicago -7, sportsbooks who let the marketplace develop before releasing a number, opened the Bears at an adjusted -9 or -9.5. By Monday afternoon, most were in accord with Chicago at -8 and a total of 46.

These teams last met three years ago and the Giants are 5-3 and 4-3-1 ATS since 1992.


 What to Watch For

Between these two NFC teams, they make it really challenging for NFL football handicappers, since collectively they have only covered one game (Giants 0-5 ATS, Bears 1-3-1 ATS).

New York is off their worst start in 33 years (excluding the strike season) and is only going to cover the spread if they play like they care.

Sure the Giants have had more than their fair share of injuries, but they are not fielding a team with 22 new guys since 2012. Eli Manning has to throw smarter passes and the offensive line has to put in the effort to block better.

Defensive players have to show more attitude and make a commitment to carrying out assignments. Finally, there is no excuse for being fourth in most penalties that is just carelessness.

Chicago must force-feed the ball to its two most explosive players, Matt Forte and Brandon Marshall. If they do not, blame the coaches for poor game plans or too easily giving up, using the convenient excuse, “We took what they gave us”.

Because of how banged up and inexperienced the Bears D-Line is probably going to be, blitzing with linebackers would be a wise move, since the Giants offense is already flustered.

Final Outcome

While Chicago at -8 is a risky proposition, I cannot back a team that has yet to cover a spread and played with no heart like the Giants. As part of my NFL picks, I will play against the New York Giants.

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NFL Pick: Bet the Bears on the spread, -7.5 (-110) points at Bet365

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