NFL Picks: Giants Going for Blood When Facing Cowboys on Sunday Night Football

Joe Gavazzi

Friday, September 11, 2015 7:30 PM GMT

Let me give you a big underdog betting selection that blends all of the statistical, situational analysis that will result in an outstanding opportunity for you to cash a winning ticket.

New York Giants vs.Dallas Cowboys (-6) 8:30 ET
Each week in this space, I will isolate the NFL bid dog of the week. It will be a pick on an NFL team that is an underdog of 6 or more points. This selection will be a blend of statistical, situational, and technical analyses that will result in an outstanding opportunity for you to put the NFL odds in your favor and cash a winning ticket.

The first NFL Sunday Night Football game is a matchup that features a storied NFL East rivalry between the New York Giants and the Dallas Cowboys. These teams met twice last season, with Dallas winning and covering by a score of 31-21 on this field, and following it up four weeks later with a 31-28 victory at New York, barely failing to cover the 4 point impost. That makes it four straight over the New Yorkers, with three of those victories by 5 or less points. You can see the precedence for an exciting game once again tonight.

The Giants have gone through some tough times in recent seasons, falling from 13 to 9 to 7 to 6 wins since 2011. Though the offense perked
up a bit from 18 to 24 points last year, there was a precipitous defensive decline as the G Men allowed 43 more yards per game. Despite their demise, the Giants will be buoyed by their 3-1 SU ATS finish to close the 2014 season. Remember, this is a team just four years removed from their Super Bowl victory over New England. But with three non-playoff seasons, consider 12th year HC Coughlin to be directly on the hot seat. In recalling past success, Coughlin rehired DC Spagnuolo to improve the leaky defense. Of equal concern is keeping QB Manning erect, as his declining numbers have been directly proportional to the pressure placed on him. 

It is a chic NFL pick to back the Cowboys for yet another playoff appearance. The Achilles heel, their defense, made dramatic strides in 2014, from 27 to 22 PPG and 415 to 361 YPG. It was the reason why a trio of 8-8 SU seasons turned into a 13-5 SU campaign. Despite the loss of RB Murray, the Cowboys again figure to be potent, with QB Romo, who had the best passer rating in the NFL last season.

In the final analysis, however, this has simply not been their role. QB Romo has a mark of 22-36 ATS as home chalk, while since HC Garrett has been on board the last 4+ seasons, he has 15-27 ATS record as chalk. A final note is in order regarding the total in this game. Primetime games last season went 36-14 OVER. No surprise if that holds true to form this year, as the last five in this series have seen the teams’ total (in reverse order) 59, 52, 45, 67, and 53 points. All but one of those will get OVER backers paid.

NFL Free Pick: New York Giants +6 at The Greek