NFL Picks: Game by Game ML Winners to Consider Betting on Week 15

Nikki Adams

Wednesday, December 16, 2015 2:27 PM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 16, 2015 2:27 PM UTC

In this weekly space we rundown through the entire serving of NFL matchups and serve up choice money line NFL picks. Find out where the winners and losers are in week 15 NFL betting.

NFL Week 14 ML Picks Recap
Another solid week of money line picks is behind us, in which we went 11-5. Overall, we improve to 123-85-0 on the season over 208 games diligently predicted. That yields a 61% winning ratio so far.


Our record over last five weeks:
Week 10 – 14 Games – 8-5-0
Week 11 –14 Games – 9-5-0
Week 12 – 16 Games – 9-7-0
Week 13 – 16 Games – 10-6-0
Week 14 – 16 Games – 11-5-0


Bucs vs. Rams
Tampa Bay Buccaneers are second in the NFC South behind a 6-7 SU mark. The title is long in Carolina’s camp behind an undefeated 13-0 SU mark but the all is not lost entirely for the Bucs as they attempt to keep their slim hopes for a playoff spot alive. They need a lot of things going their way in week 15, which means it’s somewhat out of their hands. As it is, they are in seventh spot for the playoffs and faced with a must win situation. The Rams bounced back into the win column over the Lions in week 14, snapping a five-game losing streak. Still, it’s hardly a ringing endorsement of their chances in this game. Or is it? We’re of the opinion Jameis Winston and the Bucs are infinitely better than Case Keenum and the Rams, so we’re banking on the road underdogs in this game.

NFL Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Best Line Offered: +111 at Pinnacle

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Jets vs. Cowboys
The Jets are riding a three-game winning streak into week 15, looking to make a big push for the NFL playoffs. Ryan Fitzpatrick has been steady at quarterback and Brandon Marshall has been one of his favoured go-to targets, a matchup that seems to be working wonders on the offensive side of the ball. The Cowboys, meanwhile, are done and done for the season you have to consider. Bottom of the NFC East with a 4-9 SU mark they are well behind the leading triplet of Redskins, Eagles and Giants. The role of party poopers perhaps is their only motivation for this game. However, given their frustrating season and all the injuries and disappointments one wonders what they have left in the tank. It’s somewhat surprising that the Jets aren’t favoured more than they are on the NFL odds board, but that only means a decent favourable NFL odds for your NFL picks.

NFL Pick: New York Jets
Best Line Offered: -168 at 5Dimes

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Falcons vs. Jaguars
The Falcons enter week 15 as the road underdogs to the Jacksonville Jaguars, which marks a great departure from early NFL betting outlooks back in April that had the Falcons favoured in this matchup. Simply put the Falcons have disappointed on the NFL betting floor both SU and ATS – they’ve lost six in a row, seven of their last eight. As well, they’ve failed to cover the last nine games in a row. Jaguars are coming off a spectacular 51-16 win over the Colts, improving to 5-8 SU on the season. They are just one game behind the Colts and Texans in the AFC South and a win here could make it a very interesting, if not unexpected race to the finish line in the division.

NFL Picks: Jacksonville Jaguars -165 The Greek
Best Line Offered: -155 at Pinnacle

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Bills vs. Redskins
The Bills’ playoff hopes took a beating in week 14 NFL behind a 23-20 loss to the Eagles. Rex Ryan wasn’t best pleased in his postgame presser. The Redskins, meanwhile, revived their title hunt with a win over the Chicago Bears on the road. It was their first road win on the season, no less. Of all the games, this one is the toughest to call. Bills can certainly derail the Redskins on the road but they have a 0-2 SU record against teams in the NFC East with another two dates in succession with which to draw level – Redskins in week 15 and Cowboys in week 16. The hosts have a good home record that stands at 5-2 SU and they have the added motivation to keep their bid for the division title alive. It couldn’t be more of a tossup on our NFL picks than it is. We’re taking the Bills but feeling no joy here.

NFL Picks: Buffalo Bills
Best Line Offered: -114 at Pinnacle

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Panthers vs. Giants
Just about everybody under the sun is backing the Panthers on their NFL picks. Hard not to when they are 13-0 SU on the season and odds makers are adjusting the NFL odds for the Panthers to go 16-0 SU on the season and, potentially, even 19-0 SU when all is said and done. It’s worth noting, however, the Panthers aren’t the favourites to win the Super Bowl 50 according to the current betting odds on offer. In any event, it’s proven unwise to bet against the Panthers this term. Yet, here we are about to do just that. Crazy, right? It definitely is. That means this isn’t an NFL pick for the fainthearted. Giants are extremely unpredictable and inconsistent, but they have some big scalps to their name under Tom Coughlin and Eli Manning over the years, the latter of which we’re hanging our hat n. For that reason alone, this is precisely the game to potentially go against the grain. It’s a long shot NFL pick, but we’re going to chance the G-men at home as they attempt to push for a playoff spot down the stretch. It’s a must-win game for the Giants.

NFL Picks: New York Giants
Best Line Offered: +193 at Pinnacle

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Bears vs. Vikings
The Vikings have lost two in a row and fallen off the top of the NFC North pile. They’re now down to sixth place in the running for a playoff spot in the NFC behind the Seahawks. The Chicago Bears haven’t been officially eliminated but their two-game losing streak sets them back in the pile, making any postseason upside a pipedream.

NFL Picks: Minnesota Vikings
Best Line Offered: -233 at Pinnacle

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Texans vs. Colts
The Texans and Colts game is off the board as the quarterback situation gets assessed. As it stands, it appears TJ Yates is to get the start for the Texans while Matt Hasselbeck will start for the Colts as it’s not looking optimistic for Andrew Luck to return. So long as that remains to be the scenario for week 15, we’re going with the Texans to get into the win column.

NFL Picks: Houson Texans
Best Line Offered: +117 at Heritage

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Chiefs vs. Ravens
The Baltimore Ravens are yet to decide whether they’ll start Matt Schaub or Jimmy Clausen against the Chiefs. Does it matter? Matt Schaub hasn’t played well in relief for the Ravens. Clausen suffered a 26-0 loss to the Seahawks earlier this season with the Bears in relief for Jay Cutler. Latest report down the wire is that the Ravens have signed Ryan Mallet. The same Mallet the Texans dumped for missing a flight to a game earlier this season, after playing incredibly poor football in his several starts. In short, the Ravens are a gong show.

NFL Picks: Kansas City Chiefs
Best Line Offered: -315 at Pinnacle

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Titans vs. Patriots
This game is a no-brainer. The Titans are no-hopers here, so much so that it doesn’t even bear thinking about. Patriots all the way. That said, NFL bettors are going to be hard pressed to find reasonable NFL odds on the Patriots to win at home. As it is, NFL odds are in the quadruple-digit range, with the lowest at Heritage. Only play this game on your NFL Picks if you have silly money to splash.

NFL Picks: New England Patriots
Best Line Offered: -1185 at Heritage

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Browns vs. Seahawks
The way the Seahawks are playing right now, the Browns organisation may well fear for the safety and well-being of their prized problem child Johnny Manziel. Do you also get the feeling that Manziel is going to have a rough day at CenturyLink Field? Heck, a lamb to slaughter would be more upbeat about its prospects. Perhaps he should pull a sickie that day and save himself the embarrassment. Just like the Patriots game, the NFL odds are ridiculous in money line markets. Best price is at Heritage, but seeing as it’s still in the quadruple digits the best thing to do is leave it for those with cash to splurge.

NFL Picks: Seattle Seahawks
Best Line Offered: -1256 at Heritage

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Packers vs. Raiders
The Packers descend on the Raiders in week 15 NFL betting looking continue their winning streak to three in a row. It’s easy to get swayed by the Raiders, who are coming off a win at Mile High last week. Impressive though that win was the Broncos didn’t do enough to win the game. Packers can’t take anything for granted and the improved Raiders defense could get after Aaron Rodgers. Still, we’re talking about Rodgers and the Packers and one has to believe they can get it done. Importantly, Mike McCarthy took over the play calling again and the impact was immediate in the Packers’ win over the Cowboys.

NFL Picks: Green Bay Packers
Best Line Offered:  -160 at The Greek

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Bengals vs. Niners
Just about everybody is taking it for granted that the Bengals are going to roll into San Francisco in week 15 and take the win without their talisman Andy Dalton calling the shots. Are the Bengals really going to be the same team without Andy Dalton?  Granted odds makers have downgraded the Bengals from touchdown favourites in spread betting markets to 4.5 points with AJ McCarron at quarterback, but that’s still a really positive outlook for a relatively unproven backup quarterback. Isn’t it? That might have something to do with AJ McCarron’s cocky boast last weekend, comparing his starting opportunity to that of Tom Brady’s start back in the day when he went in for relief of Drew Bledsoe and never looked back. The public appears to be buying what he’s selling, but he could very well rue those brazen words.

On the other side of the coin, backup Blaine Gabbert is a so-so quarterback. He’s had some good weekends and some bad ones, including last week’s loss to the Browns. That takes some of the shine off of the Niners et al in money line markets. Still, this feels like a trap to us. On a whim, we’re going with the Niners at home to pull off the upset on the NFL odds board.

NFL Picks: San Francisco 49ers 
Best Line Offered: +193 at Pinnacle

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Broncos vs. Steelers
Speaking of backup quarterbacks, here we have one that came back crashing down to earth last weekend in a loss to the Raiders. It wasn’t but a few weeks ago that NFL insiders were comparing Brock Osweiler to Tom Brady, drawing parallels between how Brady stole the job in New England to Osweiler potentially relegating Peyton Manning to the bench. Perhaps now that senseless natter about replacing Manning can be put to bed. Unfortunately, Manning isn’t quite 100% to start against the Steelers, which means Osweiler gets another start. Now that he’s had a dose of reality creep into his game and, perhaps, even some doubt, winning won’t come easily. What’s more, the Steelers looking formidable right now and Big Ben and the offense are finding their rhythm. With more tape on Osweiler and his game now available to the Steelers defense, plus the blueprint handily provided by the Raiders win, this could be another disappointment for the Broncos.

NFL Picks: Pittsburgh Steelers
Best Line Offered: -250 at Bet365

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Dolphins vs. Chargers
Dolphins were eliminated by the loss to the NY Giants on MNF, which means they’ve very little to play for in this game save for pride. Well, not exactly. They’re playing for their jobs as well, including Dan Campbell who’s only the interim coach. Do the players want Dan Campbell as their coach next season? Something to consider… Still, it’s a short week and a long trek to the west coast. Those things could factor against the Dolphins. If there’s one thing that the Dolphins could capitalise on, it is the complete and utter capitulation of the Chargers. In three of their last four games, they’ve scored just three points! There’s really not a whole lot to like about the Chargers right now, not to mention very little confidence to take from the way they are playing and their depleted offense. This game could come down to which team wants to lose more, making it a complete tossup.

NFL Picks: Miami Dolphins
Best Line Offered: +110 at Pinnacle

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Cardinals vs. Eagles
The Cardinals are through to the playoffs after winning on Thursday Night over the Vikings. They’ve had plenty of time to rest up and prepare for this game. The Eagles backed up their big upset over the Patriots with a second straight win beating the Bills, which puts them back into the title race in the NFC East. Coming up against one of the stoutest defenses in the league at this stage of the season isn’t ideal for the Eagles. Granted Sam Bradford is familiar with the Cardinals from his days in the NFC West as the Rams’ quarterback. But the way the Cardinals are playing right now, it’s hard to go against them.

NFL Picks: Arizona Cardinals
Best Line Offered: -165 at The Greek

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Lions vs. Saints
The MNF clash between the Lions and Saints could prove to be a thrilling contest despite its insignificance to the broad spectrum of the season. Neither side will be feeling the pressure as they are practically eliminated from the postseason. Saints have home field advantage, which makes them the favourites on the NFL Odds board. But their defense is porous and could be challenged mightily by Matthew Stafford and Calvin Johnson.

NFL Picks: Detroit Lions
Best Line Offered: +145 at 5Dimes

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