Saturday, 4:35 p.m. ET (NBC)
Free NFL Pick: Colts ATS
Best Line Offered: BetOnline
The Colts are hot off the heels of a dominating 21-7 victory over the Houston Texans and will travel to meet the well-rested Chiefs, a team that wrapped the regular season with a 35-3 win over the woeful Oakland Raiders. For those of you who love stats, here’s one rather useless piece of information – Indianapolis is 7-1 straight up and against the number over their last eight games played at Arrowhead.
It’s useless because the last time these clubs met, the rosters were significantly different back in 2013. But what’s not useless is the fact that the Colts’ defense has come alive as the season has worn on while the Chiefs continue to get it done off of MVP candidate Patrick Mahomes. Andrew Luck is no slouch either and is finally playing up to his full potential after putting the injury bug to bed. The quarterbacks are equal but the Colts have a decided edge defensively, and according to the NFL odds board, Indy is getting a generous head start. Add into the equation that the Colts are 6-3 ATS on the road while the Chiefs are a pedestrian 4-4 ATS at home. Upset alert here but grab the points with the road pup here just in case.
Final Score: Colts 31 – Chiefs 28
Saturday, 8:15 p.m. ET (FOX)
Free NFL Pick: Rams ATS
Best Line Offered: 5Dimes
There’s a video going around of a Dallas backer watching his television as the Seahawks connect on the two-point conversion late in the game to cut the Dallas lead to two. Those who bet the Cowboys last week understand his angst as many were laying 2½ points but the injury to kicker Sebastian Janikowski caused the Hawks to go for the two instead of kicking the point after. Seattle converted, yet the Cowboys won 22-20, and that average recreational bettor who has only one out and must take the line given to him, lost by a hook. Always have multiple outs kids.
The Rams will be fresh as a daisy when they host what should be a gassed Dallas Cowboys team after their exhausting victory over the Seahawks. Jared Goff has too many weapons for a very good, albeit unspectacular Cowboys’ defense. This should be a stone cold square play on the Rams to cover the number in our NFL picks this weekend.
Final Score: Rams 31 – Cowboys 21
Sunday, 1:05 p.m. ET (CBS)
Free NFL Pick: Patriots ATS
Best Line Offered: Bookmaker
There have been chinks in the Patriots’ armor this season with Tom Brady being not so terrific while his All-World tight end Rob Gronkowski is showing signs of wearing down after what has been a Hall-of-Fame career. All of that said, the Patriots are still the Patriots and nobody does it better in the postseason than the Evil Genius and TB12.
New England is 8-0 straight up and 6-2 ATS at the Razor while the Chargers are 8-1 straight up and against the spread on the road this season. Something has to give and I believe it will be the Chargers who will break against a Patriots’ defense that has tightened up in the home stretch of the season, allowing 17 points or less in five of their last six contests. Lay the lumber and like it.
Final Score: Patriots 27 – Chargers 20
Sunday, 4:40 p.m. ET (FOX)
Free NFL Pick: Eagles ATS
Best Line Offered: Bovada
There are some quarterbacks who just win ball games and one of those is Nick Foles. Never one to be mentioned in the same rarified air as the elite passers – hell, he’s not even a starter on his own team – but come playoff time he is nothing but money. Yet again, Foles and the Eagles pulled off an improbable win over a tough-as-nails Bears’ defense and advance to the divisional round courtesy of their thrilling 16-15 victory.
The key to this game will be the Eagles’ defense shutting down the prolific attack of Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints. Philly did a fine job against Mitchell Trubisky last week and will give Brees all he can handle this week. The Saint are 1-4 ATS in their last five while the Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last four overall, 5-0 ATS in their last five January contests, and 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Mo Mentum is not just a Jewish accountant on Long Island, he’s putting together some fine numbers in Philly and we will ride him to another lock line winner!
Final Score: Eagles 24 – Saints 21