NFL Picks: Free Week 9 NFL Picks

Jordan Sharp

Wednesday, October 30, 2013 3:09 PM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 30, 2013 3:09 PM UTC

Free NFL picks for our favorite Week 9 matchups. What numbers have the odds makers put on offer, and which betting lines do our NFL handicappers believe hold the best value.

Week 9 of the NFL season has arrived and I have identified two early week value plays that I believe will cash you two winners. The NFL Odds this week are somewhat bare because of all the bye weeks, but let’s see if you agree that these two plays are worth adding to your NFL Picks for Week 9.

Also Check out our:

NFL Picks: Week 9 Value Picks

NFL Picks: Week 9 Fades & Games to Avoid

Bengals vs. Dolphins

Cincinnati is coming off of one of the bigger blowouts of the season so far, and after pummeling the Jets this past week, they head into Miami to play the Dolphins on Thursday night. Miami is a +2 ½ home underdog in the NFL odds for this game, and I can’t help but like the Bengals here. Cincinnati trumps the Dolphins on both sides of the ball, and with the Miami offense showing no consistency, and the defense underachieving, Ill lay less than a field goal on Cincy.

Cincinnati is 6-3 SU in their last nine road games, while Miami is only 1-4 ATS and SU in their last five games overall. In those five games, the Dolphins are giving up over 27 points per game, and three of the five were at home. Even with the injury to Rey Maualuga, I see the Bengals’ defense giving Ryan Tannehill fits in this game. Cincinnati’s defensive line is one of the better units in the NFL, and with the exception of maybe Kansas City, Buffalo and Cleveland, they have the best defensive line in the AFC.

Tannehill has turned the ball over 15 times already through just seven games, and he has been sacked 32 times which leads the NFL. While I don’t expect 49 points again from the Bengals, I do expect a cover.

My Pick: Bengals -2 ½

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Eagles vs. Raiders

This line is just starting to come out so the value is extra hot, and I can not believe the Raiders aren’t more than -2 ½ favorites here. They opened at -1 and although we missed that chance, you can still find some chalk to lay -1 with the Raiders as well. Oakland is 5-2 ATS this season and they are being undervalued by sportsbooks here. With the chance that Nick Foles might have to start this cross-country game, I think the Raiders are the play.

Philadelphia is giving up over 300 yards passing per game, and even though Terrelle Pryor has been shaky throwing the ball recently, this is a game where he can get back on track. He got beat up through the air last week against one of the better secondaries in the NFL, however his rushing and the Raiders’ defense were enough to overcome Pittsburgh.

Even though they hardly ever play one another, the Eagles are only 1-5 ATS in their history against the Raiders, and Philadelphia is a total of 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games overall. Both of these teams have top five rushing offenses, but the Raiders are at home, they have the better overall defense, and with Foles and/or Matt Barkley under center in the Coliseum, many young quarterbacks have met their demise.

Pryor has an arm, and with plenty of hard nosed running, the play action pass is going to leave Denarius Moore wide open a time or two in this game, and that is all they might need against a potentially bad Philly offense on the road this week. Expect LeSean McCoy to see eight men in the box the entire game, which will be the end for the Eagles.

My Pick: Raiders -2 ½
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