For most sportsbooks, last week in the NFL was pretty solid, as a number of games went their way both against the public & sharps. Let's see if we can't come out ahead in Week 8.
Though the line closed at -7, most bettors on Tom Brady and New England had a higher number and the Jets late field beat the public but helped underdog players. This was the week Indianapolis was going to bounce back and most making NFL picks agreed and were stunned to see the Colts down 20-0 be falling to New Orleans. The biggest public and wise guy winner was Oakland, along with smaller victories (less handle) on Kansas City and St. Louis. However, betters of all kinds bet Philadelphia and Arizona and were left grumbling.
I mentioned teasers and they have really grown in popularity for football bettors because you can structure the odds in a more favorable position. That is not to say there still isn't risk, because you have to wager on multiple games.
Football handicappers like myself also study teasers to be right side of key numbers to build an edge. While I present a four-team teaser weekly, break these out into two or three-team teasers, increases your chances of winning, as I have actually been correct overall on 22 of 28 choices.
New Orleans +3 Teaser Odds
In going over the numbers on the New York Giants and New Orleans, there is something to be learned. The Giants have been out-gained by 68 yards a game, yet have managed to win two of three by having a +5 turnover margin. New York also ranks 30th against the pass and what is the New Orleans offense built around with Drew Brees, that's right, throwing the ball! With the Saints a regular field goal favorite, we can turn them into a 3-point underdog and the G-Men are 11-26 ATS after being out-gained by 150 or more yards.
San Francisco +15 Teaser Odds
I certainly realize San Francisco is a bad football team and Colin Kaepernick has almost no help, along with his often mediocre performances. Nevertheless, I do not see St. Louis being decidedly better talent-wise compared to the 49ers. With this a division battle, the Niners focus should be better and let's not forget, though San Fran averages only 14.7 PPG, the Rams do not remind anyone of the Patriots at 18 PPG. As long as San Francisco does not turn the ball over, every reason to believe going over 10, 13 and 14 points on the teaser line should yield a winner.
Pittsburgh +7.5 Teaser Odds
Whatever chances Pittsburgh has of being AFC North champs hinges on winning this game. With Ben Roethlisberger expected to play (likely not at 100 percent capabilities), Pittsburgh is a dwindling home underdog, but still above a touchdown which is important for teasers. Cincinnati knows coming off a bye they are going to catch the Steelers best shot and while I really like this Bengals club, Pittsburgh has a lot of offensive weapons and is 10-2 ATS facing teams with winning records. Excellent value for sports picks.
Denver +9 Teaser Odds
Aaron Rodgers is at the peak of his considerable abilities, while Peyton Manning is going down the mountain from what has been a Hall of Fame career. Yet Denver is home in the battle of 6-0 squads and has the top defensive team in the NFL, which is equipped at all three levels to slow Rodgers and Green Bay down. From wagering perspective, we have a total of 45 and with the Packers three-point favorites, this means the oddsmakers are calling for 24-21 Green Bay victory. Since the middle of 2011 season, the Pack has one non-division away victory against a winning team by more than nine points.