NFL Picks: End Week 9 in the Black with Swinger's Winning Duo

Swinging Johnson

Saturday, November 7, 2015 12:10 PM GMT

Saturday, Nov. 7, 2015 12:10 PM GMT

Swinger did the splits in his NFL picks last week and now sees several opportunities to cash in this week’s slate. Let’s get down to business and review the NFL odds for Week 9.

2015 NFL Record (13-14-1 ATS)
Don't ask me about last week because I'm not talking about it. Ha-ruuumph! Man, there is nothing worse than not only losing both your NFL picks, but not even having a whiff of it possibly cashing. At least give me an adrenaline rush for the hard earned money I am donating to my bookmaker's coffers. We all have those days but unfortunately I have to memorialize them.

In summary, the Jets were grounded in Oakland and the low scoring affair I was planning on between the Browns and Cardinals never materialized. I hadn't even finished by first Crown Royal before I knew what was in store for me last Sunday. Alright then boys and girls, time to dust myself off and get on with it. Let's go!

 

Titans vs. Saints
Okay, this week we are going with what I consider to be a huge mismatch as the Saints welcome the Titans to the Bayou.

As you may know, the Titans cut head coach Ken Whisenhunt loose and I loved his response when asked about his firing. He told the media that the Titans never gave him a reason.  Well, I'm no forensic detective, but I immediately thought of his 3-23 record since he was hired but naaaaaa...I'm sure that had nothing to do with it.

Okay, so now Mike Mularkey takes over and he is vowing to protect the defenseless Marcus Mariota by using tight ends to bolster the offensive line and employ tailbacks as blitz-busters. I would say that's great, but if the only weapons he has are narrowed down to his receivers then he's still got big problems, particularly when you consider top receiver Kendall Wright is out of action. I simply cannot see a world in which he takes that offense to the Superdome and is able to keep pace with a Drew Brees' passing attack, especially since Tennessee is ranked 31st of 32 teams in points scored. Oh, and don't let their number three ranked pass defense fool you. The reason they only allow 198 passing yards per game is because they are always behind, and the opposition just runs the ball to kill the clock. If you look inside those numbers, you will find that the Titans are in the bottom third of yards per catch averaged against their defense.

Now, of course the Saints don't have a great defense, otherwise this spread would be about 17, but Mariota is not one-hundred percent coming into this one as he is just off the DL with his wounded knee. And in addition his primary target will be in civvies. I believe the Saints will jump out on top, get up about three touchdowns and pretty much stay there.

Titans are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss.

Titans are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog.

I see quite a bit of 7½ 's out there, so when you bet this or any other favorite that's favored by 3½ or 7½...don't be cheap - buy the hook.

Free NFL Pick: Saints -7 (-125) at Pinnacle.

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Total - Giants vs. Bucs
At first blush, you look at this total and think "over", don't you? The last time you saw Eli Manning, he was hurling passes all over the field and putting up gaudy numbers including six touchdown passes. His counterpart, Drew Brees was even more ridiculous with 500 plus yards and seven - count'em - seven touchdown strikes. The Giants and Saints combined for a staggering 101 points, and who can blame you if you believe the Giants are primed to do it all over again. But they won't, and here's why.

The Giants' offense has to be shaking their collective heads after scoring all those points and still losing to New Orleans. And think about New York’s defense that got rained on in a pathetic display of ineptitude, incompetence and insouciance. And let's not forget who they play in Week 10 - the New England Patriots. Think they may be looking ahead just a bit?

On the flipside, the Bucs scored their biggest win of the season and could very well be reveling in that victory. And though the Giants are utterly ill-equipped at stopping the pass, the fact of the matter is Jameis Winston is no Drew Brees as his team’s 222 passing yards per game will attest. The Bucs do one thing well and that is run the ball. They will want to do plenty of that in order to maintain possession, run the clock and, for the luvva gawd, keep the pigskin out of the hands of Drew Brees. Their weapon of choice is Doug Martin, who only rushed for 73 yards on 23 carries last week against Atlanta, but the Falcon's have a tremendous run stop defense (3rd), while the Giants certainly don't pose that kind of threat.

Couple of stats for you boys and girls:

Under is 7-0 in Buccaneers last seven games in November.

Under is 4-1 in Buccaneers last five games as a home underdog.

Under is 5-1 in Giants last six games as a road favorite.

Under is 11-3 in Giants last 14 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

Free NFL Pick: Under 49 at GTBets

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Woodman’s Corner (5-3 ATS)
The Woodman cashed last week by the thinnest of margins with the Minnesota Vikings over the Chicago Bears. The NFL odds makers installed the Vikings as two point road chalk, and they rallied with 13 points in the fourth-quarter to win it off the foot of Blair Walsh who kicked Minny into a 23-20 win.

Do I sound like I'm minimizing or even diminishing the Woodman's win? No, I'm not transferring my own self-loathing and my 0-2 performance last week onto him. I mean, he certainly wouldn't win any style points with that pick, but hey, he cashed and I say good for him. I'm happy for him...just like the ugly chick is happy for her hot friend who's dating a Chippendale's dancer. Yeah, nice work, Woodman...ya bastahd.

Oh, yes, he's backing the Tennessee Titans +8 of all teams. Yes, opposite of the team I picked, the New Orleans Saints. Go ahead, readers. Choose sides. I won't be angry if you fade me and side with him. Not angry...just disappointed.

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