NFL Picks: Early Look at the Week 9 Odds on Offer in Vegas

Kevin Stott

Friday, October 24, 2014 8:47 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 24, 2014 8:47 PM UTC

The NFL Early Lines from the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook in Las Vegas provide a first look valuable and often profitable to the astute NFL gambler. Here are the Week 9 numbers and a handful of picks.

Thursday, October 30, 2014
New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers -1½ (NFL Network, 8:25 p.m. ET/5:25 p.m. PT)
This AFC South matchup between the Saints (2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS, vs. Packers Sunday night) and the Panthers (3-3-1 SU, 4-3 ATS, vs. Seahawks Sunday) at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte will be hard for both as both will be coming off tough games, but no matter what happened in Week 8, this game will be much more important for visiting New Orleans. The Panthers are 1-3 SU and 1-3 ATS on Thursdays and 0-2 ATS at Home in Carolina while the Saints are a miserable 0-5 ATS on Thursdays and 0-4 ATS Away. Both teams here are Over teams with Carolina Overs 5-1 and New Orleans Overs 5-2. The Panthers are 3-1 ATS L4 against New Orleans and 3-0 ATS L3 here at Home. Note: The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook’s 2014 Games of the Year opening odds put out in the summer had this game a pick.

NFL Pick: Panthers -1½


Sunday, October 31, 2014
San Diego Chargers at Miami Dolphins PK (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
This should be a competitive game as the Miami Dolphins (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS, at Jaguars Sunday) host the San Diego Chargers (5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS, at Broncos Sunday) in an AFC interdivisional foray Sunday afternoon at Sun Life Stadium in Miami Gardens. The Dolphins are 6-2 ATS L8 vs. the Chargers and 3-0 ATS L3 here at Home in Miami, but San Diego is as good as it has been in several seasons and stepping in front of them is too hard right now. Pick: Chargers PK


Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals -11 (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT) 
The Bengals (3-2-1 SU, 3-3 ATS, vs. Ravens Sunday) welcome the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS, vs. Dolphins) to Paul Brown Stadium in the Queen City in a date that will be more important to the host Cincinnati, who is obviously in the thick of the AFC North and AFC playoff race while Jacksonville is, well, just Jacksonville. The Bengals are 3-0 ATS L3 against the Jaguars.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cleveland Browns -6 (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT) 
Who did Cleveland pay off to get the Jaguars and the Raiders and these Buccaneers back-to-back-to-back? The host Browns (3-3 SU, 3-1-2 ATS, vs. Raiders Sunday) will need this game more than the visiting Buccaneers (1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS, vs. Vikings Sunday), but only because Tampa Bay (#32 Total Yards, #32 Passing yards, #32 Points allowed) is pretty  much out of the playoff picture (already) while Cleveland will be holding on to its last glimmer of hope in the rugged AFC North. These two don’t play much and this is really a tough one to figure out.


Washington Redskins at Minnesota Vikings -2 (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT) 
The Redskins (2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS, vs. Cowboys for Monday Night Football) head to TCF Bank Stadium in Minneapolis to face the Minnesota Vikings (2-5 SU, 3-4 ATS, at Buccaneers Sunday) in an NFC interdivisional game between two teams who are pretty much done in terms of the playoffs. The Vikings are 3-1 ATS L4 against the Redskins.


Philadelphia Eagles at Houston Texans PK (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
The Philadelphia Eagles (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS, at Cardinals Sunday) head south to NRG Stadium in Houston for this interconference meeting against the Texans (3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS, at Titans Sunday) in a game that will be more important to the Home team when one looks at the Loss column(s) for each team here. There are no strong trends and these two don’t play much. The last time they did was in 2010 in the city of Brotherly Love and Cheesesteaks where Philadelphia won 34-24 while the last time these two teams played in Houston (2006), the Eagles also prevailed, 24-10.


New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs -5 (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT) 
Arrowhead Stadium is the site of the interdivisional Week 9 meeting between the Kansas City Chiefs (3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS, vs. Rams Sunday) and the New York Jets (1-6 SU, 1-5-1 ATS, vs. Bills Sunday) in a game the Home team will need more as the Chiefs will either be 4-3 or 3-4 and will still be chasing the Chargers and the Broncos in the AFC West and will be holding onto those postseason hopes...well, at least for the immediate time being. The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS L5 against the Jets and are simply the better football team right now.

NFL Pick: Chiefs -5


Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys -3 (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT) 
These Cowboys (6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS, vs. Redskins Monday night) have been really entertaining so far this season thanks in great part to the NFL’s best Offensive Line and RB DeMarco Murray but Arizona (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS, vs. Eagles Sunday) has also been as good as they have been in a while, so this game at AT&T Stadium in Arlington will be both entertaining and significant in the whole scheme of things in the NFC. The Cowboys are a statistically bizarre 0-3 ATS L3 against Arizona but Dallas is 5-0 ATS in the L5 here at Home. A very tough call that could go either way and actually evolve into a defensive battle in the Lone Star State. The SuperBook’s 2014 Games of the Year opening line on this was Cowboys -1½.


St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers -7½ (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET/1:05 p.m. PT)
New Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara is the site of this NFC West game between the host San Francisco 49ers (4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS, Open Date) and the St. Louis Rams (2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS, at Chiefs) and noteworthy here is the long rest San Francisco will have to prepare for this. The 49ers won 31-17 in Week 6 in St. Louis as 3½-point Favorites and the lean here is again to QB Colin Kaepernick and the host Niners. San Francisco won this game 23-13 last year as 7½-point Favorites.

NFL Pick: 49ers -7½


Denver Broncos -3 at New England Patriots (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET/1:25 p.m. PT)
It wouldn’t be a normal NFL season unless Tom Brady and Peyton Manning didn’t get together for a little Sunday slinging and this season is no different. Here, the New England Patriots (5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS, vs.Bears Sunday) play host to the AFC champion Denver Broncos (5-1 SU, 3-3 ATS, vs. Chargers Sunday) at Gillette stadium in Foxboro in the can’t miss game of the week and another important showdown in the jostling for homefield advantage in the AFC playoffs. The Patriots are 4-1 ATS L5 against the Broncos and a sparkling 4-0 here at Home in New England. With both teams’ defenses improved this year, feel staying away is the safest play although the Over should be enticing when the Totals come out as Denver Overs are 4-2 while New England Overs are 5-2. The 2014 Games of the Year odds on this were Patriots -1½.


Oakland Raiders at Seattle Seahawks -13 (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET/1:25 p.m. PT) 
The Super Bowl champion Seahawks (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS, at Panthers Sunday) haven’t looked like themselves of late but the SU record and place in the NFC West can somewhat be attributed to a tough schedule. Seattle’s former AFC West buddies, the winless Oakland Raiders (0-6 SU, 3-3 ATS, at Browns) do not qualify as one those thouse that makes a schedule “tough”. The Seahawks are 3-8 ATS L11 vs. the Raiders but 3-0 ATS L3 here at Home in Seattle.


Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers -1 (NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET/5:30 p.m. PT):
Ben Roethlisberger and the host Steelers (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS, vs. Bengals Sunday) will need this game at Home at Heinz Field in The Steel City more than Joe Flacco and the visiting Baltimore Ravens (5-2 SU, 4-2-1 ATS, vs. Bengals), even if the Ravens lose to Cincinnati this Sunday in another AFC North clash. The Steelers will no doubt have renge of their minds after losing at Baltimore, 26-6 as 2½-point Underdogs in Week 2. The Steelers are 3-1 ATS L3 against the Ravens but Baltimore is a little bit better now than those previous three Pittsburgh covered. The SuperBook’s 2014 Games of the Year line on this was Steelers -3½, so this Early Line from the sports book shows how much Baltimore has improved in the eyes of oddsmakers.

NFL Pick: Ravens +1


Monday, November 3, 2014
Indianapolis Colts -3½ at New York Giants (ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET/5:30 p.m. PT) 
MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ is the site of Week 9’s final game, this Monday Night Football interconference game between the host New York Giants (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS, Open Date) and the visiting Indianapolis Colts (5-2 SU, 6-1 ATS, at Steelers). The G-Men (1-2 as Home Underdog on MNF) seem to have the advantage here in that they will be coming off a Bye Week and will be fully rested while the Colts (3-0 as Road Favorite on MNF) will be coming off a Road date in Pittsburgh and should be a little beat-up. But QB Andrew Luck (12-3-1 ATS vs. Non-Division) is equipped with a number of weapons on offense and this team is for real. The Colts are 3-1 ATS L4 against the Giants and seem like the better choice in this situation. Note: The 2014 Games of the Year opening odds on this had the Colts -2½. 

NFL Pick: Colts -3½

NFL Picks: Panthers -1½, Chargers PK, Chiefs -5, 49ers -7½, Ravens +1, Colts -3½ (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook)

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