NFL Picks: Early Look at the Week 8 Odds on Offer in Vegas

Kevin Stott

Friday, October 17, 2014 12:42 PM GMT

Fresh from the oddsmakers at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook in Sin City, here are the Week 8 NFL Early Lines with a thumbnail sketch of each game, TV information and some picks on games that look good.

Thursday, October 23, 2014
San Diego Chargers vs. Denver Broncos -6½ (CBS, 8:25 p.m. ET/5:25 p.m. PT)
Broncos QB Peyton Manning  (110-91-6 ATS as Favorite) and the Broncos (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS, vs. 49ers Sunday night) welcome the Chargers (5-1 SU, 5-1 ATS, vs. Chiefs Sunday) and QB Philip Rivers (26-18-2 as Underdog) to Sports Authority Field in Denver in for the first game of Week 8, a nationally broadcast primetime affair on CBS. The Broncos have been decent on Thursday NFL games (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS), but so have the Chargers (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS, 1-1 ATS Road). San Diego has absolutely owned Denver (3-1 ATS at Home on Thursdays) against the spread (ATS) of late, as the Chargers are 11-4 L15 overall and 7-0 ATS L7 here in the Mile High City.

NFL Pick: Chargers +6½

 

Sunday, October 26, 2014
Detroit Lions -3½ vs. Atlanta Falcons, London, England (FOX, 1:30 p.m. GMT 9:30 a.m. ET/6:30 a.m. PT)
It says an awful lot about the way the Detroit Lions (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS, vs. Saints Sunday) have played so far this season that oddsmakers here at The Sportsbook Formerly Known As The LVH SuperBook have made them 3½-point favorites over the Atlanta Falcons (2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS, at Ravens Sunday) at a neutral site like this (Wembley Stadium) in London, England, where the NFC North co-leaders will help what the NFL PR Machine dubs the debut a new starting (game) time. Right. Anyway, the Falcons have been made the home team but the only thing noticeable here is the Falcons 3-0 ATS L3 mark against Detroit. Check on the status of Lions WR Calvin Johnson (ankle) who was listed as Questionable heading into Detroit’s Week 7 game against New Orleans.

 

Minnesota Vikings vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers PK (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
This NFC interdivisional game between two teams who thought they’d be in better shape heading into Week 8—the Minnesota Vikings (2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS, at Bills Sunday) and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS)—and two teams that NFL bettors would be profiting from by betting against with an 8-4 ATS combined fade mark heading into Week 7 action. If the Bucs weren’t so schizophrenic, they might be worth a look here at Home in Raymond James Stadium knowing that they are an impressive 6-0 ATS L6 against Minnesota and 6-0 ATS L6 here in Tampa. The point spread says it all.

 

Chicago Bears vs. New England Patriots -6½ (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
QB Tom Brady and the New England Patriots (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS, vs. Jets Thursday night) looked much better the last two weeks, throttling both Cincinnati and Buffalo and sending a message to the rest of the league that they’re not too old just yet. Here in Foxboro at Gillette Stadium next weekend, the Chicago Bears (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS, vs. Dolphins Sunday) pay a visit in an interconference game that should make for some good viewing with Chicago QB Jay Cutler and the Bears possibly looking at a 3-5 start with a loss to the Patriots and the Packers in Week 10 after an Open Date in Week 9 on the horizon. These two don’t play much, but the last time they did, New England pounded the Bears in Chicago 36-7 back in 2010.

 

St. Louis Rams vs. Kansas City Chiefs -6 (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
The Battle of the Show Me State will be held at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri next weekend when the Kansas City Chiefs (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS, at Chargers Sunday) host the St. Louis Rams (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS, vs. Seahawks Sunday) in an interconference battle between teams who’ll probably be watching the playoffs from home when the calendar switches to 2015 although Kansas City is better than its record indicates. The Chiefs are 5-0 ATS L5 against the Rams.

NFL Pick: Chiefs -6

 

Seattle Seahawks -3½ vs. Carolina Panthers (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
The Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, at Rams Sunday) and QB Russell Wilson (13-7 ATS Away) pay a visit to Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte to face the Carolina Panthers (3-2-1 ATS, 4-2 ATS, at Packers Sunday) in an NFC interdivisional game that looks like one of the best on the Week 8 schedule that has several potential beauties. The Seahawks are 3-0 ATS L3 against the Panthers but its hard to recommend Seattle at that number and in this situation. The host Panthers will need the win much more if they lose at Green Bay and come in with a 3-3-1 record with the Seahawks likely NFL Special: NFL Week 8 Early Odds (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) at 4-2 if they beat the Rams in St. Louis this weekend.

 

Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets PK (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
Buffalo (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS, vs. Vikings Sunday) is playing a little bit better football than are the New York Jets (1-5 SU, 0-5-1 ATS, at Patriots Thursday night) but this Battle of the Empire State and AFC East clash is a tough call against the spread as well as straight up. best to stay away here. The Jets are 3-1 ATS L4 here at Home at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford against New York.

 

Miami Dolphins -4½ vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
Yet another intrastate battle, this time in the Sunshine State, sees the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars (0-6 SU, 1-5 ATS vs. Browns Sunday) welcoming the Miami Dolphins (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS, at Bears Sunday) to EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville in a game where the Early Line shows how well the Dolphins have really been playing this season (6th Rushing yards, 8th Passing defense). Not surprisingly, the Dolphins are 3-1 ATS L4 against the Jaguars.

 

Houston Texans -1½ vs. Tennessee Titans (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
A very tough game to predict and/or bet on, this Tennessee Titans (0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS, at Redskins Sunday)-Houston Texans (3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS, at Steelers Monday night) matchup will probably be entertaining nonetheless and may come down to the last possession at LP Field in Nashville. The Texans will come in on a short week and probably a little beat up after playing the now somewhat desperate Steelers in Pittsburgh this week. The Texans are 5-1 ATS L6 against the Titans and 3-0 ATS L3 here in Tennessee.

 

Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals -3½ (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
This game should be very entertaining and maybe the best of Week 8, when the Ravens (4-2 SU, 3-2-1 ATS, vs. Falcons) face the Bengals (3-1-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, at Colts Sunday) in a critical AFC North battle in which QBs Joe Flacco and Andy Dalton will battle it out in The River City at Paul Brown Stadium. If you plan on backing the underdog, don’t count on this 3½ being there on Monday morning when the regular Week 8 odds are released. The Bengals are 4-1 ATS L5 against Baltimore at Home.

NFL Pick: Ravens +3½

 

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Arizona Cardinals -2½ (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET/1:05 p.m. PT)
Another exciting game, this NFC meeting in the desert at Glendale, Arizona’s University of Phoenix Stadium sees the host Arizona Cardinals (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, at Raiders Sunday) dancing with the hot-starting Philadelphia Eagles (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS, Bye) in what will no doubt ultimately be an important game for both in the final standings and one which could also go right down to the wire. The Cardinals are 4-0 ATS L4 against the Eagles and 3-0 ATS L3 here at Phoenix (Glendale) against them.

 

Indianapolis Colts -1½  vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET/1:25 p.m. PT)
This line speaks volumes about both the Colts progress and the Steelers fall so far this 2014 NFL season, as the SuperBook’s 2014 Games of the Year line—released during the summer—had the host Steelers as -3-point favorites (Even), so, for the early shopper who grabbed Indianapolis and the 3 points, a nice little middle has been created with this line and will also be created when the opening numbers come out next week. How the Steelers (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS, vs. Texans Monday night) are going to stop Andrew Luck and the Colts (4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS, vs. Bengals) here at home at Heinz Field in The Steel City is the big question and it’s hard to come up with a solid answer as Pittsburgh really looks hopeless at times and may now be the worst team in the AFC North. The Colts are 3-1 L4 ATS vs. the Steelers.

NFL Pick: Colts -1½

 

Oakland Raiders vs. Cleveland Browns -7 (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET/1:25 p.m. PT)
These two teams are better than most of the public thinks but this AFC interdivisional tilt should still be a fairly dull game at Cleveland’s aptly-named Cleveland Brown Stadium between the host Browns (3-2 SU, 3-0-2 ATS, at Jaguars Sunday) and the Raiders (0-5 SU, 3-2 ATS, vs. Cardinals Sunday). The Browns are 5-1-1 ATS L7 here at home in Cleveland against Oakland.

 

Green Bay Packers vs. New Orleans Saints PK (NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET/5:30 p.m. PT)
The Saints (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS, at Lions Sunday) are always tough here at home at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in The Big Easy but QB Aaron Rodgers (29-24 ATS Away) and the Packers (4-2 SU, 3-2-1 ATS, vs. Panthers Sunday) will present quite the challenge for Drew Brees (54-42-2 ATS Home) and the homeboys next weekend in the Sunday night prime time TV game on NBC. The Saints are 3-1 ATS L4 against the Packers.

 

Monday, October 27, 2014
Washington Redskins vs. Dallas Cowboys -8 (ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET/5:30 p.m. PT)
This classic old NFC East rivalry won’t feature Roger Staubach or Joe Theismann, but it will see Tony Romo and Kirk Cousins as the Redskins (1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS, vs. Titans Sunday) and the Cowboys (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS, vs. Giants) meet at AT&T Stadium in Arlington in a game the visitors will desperately need an upset in to keep any waning playoff hopes alive. The Redskins are an impressive 7-1 ATS L8 and 6-1 ATS L7 here in Big D to the Cowboys. For your NFL picks keep in mind that If Dallas wins, Washington won’t make it easy.


NFL Picks: Chargers +6½, Chiefs -6, Ravens +3½, Colts -1½ (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook)