NFL Picks: Early Look at the Week 7 Odds on Offer in Vegas

Kevin Stott

Saturday, October 11, 2014 1:13 PM UTC

Saturday, Oct. 11, 2014 1:13 PM UTC

Here are your NFL Week 7 Early Odds from the world’s largest sports book, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook—formerly the LVH—here in Las Vegas and a handful of picks for your betting perusal.

Thursday, October 16, 2014
New York Jets vs. New England Patriots -9½ (CBS, 8:25 p.m. ET/5:25 p.m. PT)

Patriots QB Tom Brady and New England (3-2 SU, at Bills Sunday in Week 6) have been really scuffling so far this season and the team has had to rely on its defense but these odds really reflect how bad the Jets (1-4 SU, L4, vs. Broncos Sunday) have been. The Patriots are 4-2 SU and 3-2 ATS on Thursday Night Football (2-0 ATS Away) while the Jets are 3-4 SU and 4-2 ATS (1-1 ATS Home). The trends favor New York here as the Jets are 3-1 L4 ATS against the Patriots and 3-1 L4 ATS here Away at Foxboro.


Sunday, October 19, 2014
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Indianapolis Colts -2 (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)

QB Andrew Luck and the Colts (3-2 SU, vs. Texans Thursday) have been very prolific offensively this season and lead the NFL in Total Points (156) but QB Andy Dalton (11-9-2 ATS as Underdog) and the Bengals (3-1 SU, vs. Panthers Sunday) have gotten off to a better start and this AFC interdivisional showdown at Lucas Oil Stadium in Naptown next weekend is a huge game for both teams. The Bengals are 3-0 L3 ATS against the Colts.


Tennessee Titans vs. Washington Redskins Off (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
There is no line posted here, possibly because Titans QB Jake Locker (knee) is listed as Questionable for his Week 6 game against Jacksonville and Washington (1-4 SU, at Cardinals on Sunday) just played on Monday night (Seahawks). But expect the Redskins to probably go up as very small favorites here at FedEx Field in Landover, Maryland next Sunday. The Titans (1-4 SU, vs. Jaguars Sunday) are backed by recent trends in this series with Tennessee 6-2 L8 ATS vs. the Redskins and 4-0 L4 ATS at Washington.

NFL Pick: Titans


Miami Dolphins vs. Chicago Bears -3 -120 (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
The Bears (2-3 SU, at Falcons Sunday) will probably need this Week 7 game more than the Dolphins (2-2 SU, vs. Packers) will, but both may be coming off losses (Falcons, Packers respectively) when this game is played. Expect the home-field (Soldier Field in Chicago) and Chicago’s (1-4-1 HF in 2013) potential 2-4 SU record heading in to be the key motivating factors for a close Bears victory.


Cleveland Browns -4 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
The line here reflects both how far Cleveland (2-2 SU, vs. Steelers Sunday) has come and just how bad Jacksonville (0-5 SU, 67 PF-169 PA) really is right now. And to be more than a FG Underdog to a .500 team like the Browns for the Jaguars in a Home game at Everbank Field speaks volumes. The Browns are 3-1 ATS L4 against the Jaguars and will need the win here after playing their second game against their AFC North rivals, the Steelers, in the first six weeks of the NFL season.


Seattle Seahawks -7 vs. St. Louis Rams (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT):
The Super Bowl champion Seahawks (3-1 SU, vs. Cowboys Sunday) are out to prove a point and NFC West counterpart St. Louis (1-3 SU, vs. 49ers Monday) will merely be an obstacle on their path to greatness again this season and the fact that the game will be at the Edward Jones Dome in St. Louis carries little weight, and the obligatory 3 points given for a home-field advantage seems high in this case. But, the Rams (1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS vs. NFC West in 2013) are 3-1 L4 ATS against Seattle and lost 14-9 here as 13-point underdogs last season. But the Seahawks will be aware of this and score twice as many points in the Gateway City this time around.

NFL Pick: Seahawks -7


Carolina Panthers vs. Green Bay Packers -7 (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
QB Aaron Rodgers (29-16-3 ATS Home) and the Packers (3-2, at Dolphins Sunday) are a different team at Home in the little Mayberry hamlet of Green Bay and with Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb (6 TDs) always coming through, this team is still one to be reckoned with in the NFL despite some early burps. The Panthers (3-2 SU, at Bengals Sunday) have gotten off to a nice start but will really be put to the test here against the Packers, although Carolina is 3-1 L4 ATS here in Green Bay.


Atlanta Falcons vs.

Baltimore Ravens -5 (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT) 
The Ravens (3-2 SU, at Tampa Bay Sunday) are one of those teams many forget about, but with Cincinnati and even Cleveland upping their games so much, the AFC North is a teeth-cutting division and Baltimore is much better because of this fierce competition level. The Falcons (2-3 SU, vs. Bears Sunday) are pretty good at scoring points with QB Matt Ryan but not so good at stopping the opponent from also doing so (151 PF-143 PA). The Ravens will enjoy the AT&T Bank Stadium home-field advantage and the trends point their way also here: Baltimore is 8-1 L9 ATS vs. the Falcons and 4-0 L4 ATS here in Charm City.

NFL Pick: Ravens -5


Minnesota Vikings vs. Buffalo Bills -3½ (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
The Bills (3-2 SU, vs. Patriots Sunday) have had a nice start to the 2014 NFL season while Minnesota (2-3 SU, vs. Lions Sunday) are still looking for some stability at the QB position. The Bills are 3-1 L4 ATS against the Vikings.


New Orleans Saints vs. Detroit Lions -1½ (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
The Saints (2-3 SU, Open Date) may actually need this game more than will the host Lions (3-2 SU, 79 PA, at Minnesota Sunday) but the Road has been a sometimes cruel place for New Orleans these past several seasons. But the Saints can take solace in the fact that they are a perfect 4-0 L4 ATS against Detroit.


Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Diego Chargers -5½ (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET/1:05 p.m. PT)
This may be the best game of Week 7 (along with the 49ers-Broncos), with the Chiefs (2-3 SU, Open Date) now having the best 1-2 rushing attack in the league (Jamaal Charles-Knile Davis) and the underrated Chargers (4-1 SU, at Raiders Sunday) being in a really good spot in the competitive AFC West and a nice feather in their cap with their Week 2 win against the Super Bowl champion Seahawks in San Diego. The Chargers are 3-1 L4 ATS against the Chiefs. This one’s probably best left alone and just enjoyed.


New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys -3½ (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET/1:25 p.m. PT)
This one is tough in that the Cowboys (4-1 SU, at Seahawks Sunday) will be coming off a trip to Seattle against the NFL champ Seahawks and will be beat up while the G-Men (3-2 SU, at Eagles Sunday) are just an enigma. And the tricky 3½-point line here at AT&T Stadium doesn’t make it any easier in this NFC East tussle. The Cowboys are 3-1 L4 ATS vs. New York but just 1-4 L5 ATS here in Big D. Too tough to figure out.


Arizona Cardinals vs. Oakland Raiders Off (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET/1:25 p.m. PT)
There is no early line on this game at Coliseum in Oakland next Sunday likely because of the questionable statuses in Week 6 for Cardinals QBs Carson Palmer (shoulder) and Drew Stanton (concusssion) but when it goes up, the NFL odds should be in the Arizona -5 to -8 range. The Cardinals (3-1, vs. Redskins Sunday) play in the NFL’s toughest division (NFC West) while the Raiders (0-4 SU, vs. Chargers) are simply one of the league’s two worst teams (Jaguars) and should be faded at every corner, especially when they play quality teams like this Cardinals organization really is these days.

NFL Pick: Cardinals


San Francisco 49ers vs. Denver Broncos -6 (NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET/5:30 p.m. PT)
The AFC champion Broncos (3-1 SU, at Jets Sunday) and QB Peyton Manning (109-91-6 ATS as Favorite) host the 49ers (3-2 SU, at St. Louis Monday) in what will be a short (6-day) week for San Francisco and its second-straight Road game here at Sports Authority Field in the Mile High City in what should be a very exciting and heavily bet game. The Broncos are just 2-5 L7 ATS against the 49ers here overall but Denver is 3-1 L4 ATS here at Home against San Francisco. Another one just to watch or possibly take the points if the odds move to 7 or somehow 7½.


Monday, October 20, 2014
Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers -4 (ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET/5:30 p.m. PT)

This will be a tricky interdivisional AFC game for the host Steelers (3-2 SU, at Browns Sunday) at Heinz Field with Houston (3-2 SU, vs. Colts Thursday) possibly needing the game more should they have lost to Indianapolis and if Pittsburgh beat Cleveland, as expected in Week 6. These two just don’t play enough to have any relevant trends and the underdog looks appealing getting the 4 points here in what should be a close game that could be settled in the last 10 minutes of the 4th quarter in The Steel City.

Free NFL Picks: Titans, Seahawks -7, Ravens -5, Cardinals  (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook)

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