NFL Picks: Eagles vs. Packers NFL Betting Preview

Craig Tattan

Friday, November 8, 2013 2:34 PM GMT

Friday, Nov. 8, 2013 2:34 PM GMT

Last week was a tale of two quarterbacks with Philadelphia's Nick Foles dropping bombs into the endzone while the Packers Aaron Rodgers got a bomb dropped on his collarbone.


Let's analyze this tilt in our NFL lines and find the value here.

Philadelphia Eagles (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS)

If you can figure out this year's edition of the Philadelphia Eagles then you are a better man than I. Eerily similar to the team's play is the most recent mercurial performances of slated starting quarterback Nick Foles. It was only three weeks ago that he had a dreadful start against the Dallas Cowboys, connecting on only 11-of-29 passing for a meager 80 yards. He would leave in the third quarter with a concussion only to be relieved by an even more dismal display by the backup's backup Matt Barkley which culminated in a 17-3 drubbing by the Cowboys.

Foles sat out the following week in which the Eagles were once again held in check by an opponent, this time it was their NFC East rivals, the New York Giants. On this occasion Matt Barkley shared duties with Michael Vick and the results were equally as underwhelming. When the final whistle blew, the Eagles had failed to win and cover the spread in NFL odds for the second consecutive game, both as home chalk.

But Foles was back in the saddle against the Raiders last week and he rebounded with a vengeance. The 6'6" second-year man out of Arizona put on a laser show and scorched the Oakland secondary for seven TD strikes and racked up 406 yards in passing yards. Philly walked out of Oakland with a 49-20 victory and big time momentum coming into this one in Green Bay.

Green Bay Packers (5-3 SU, 4-3-1 ATS)

When Aaron Rodgers went down in Monday night's game against the Bears, not only was his collarbone shattered but perhaps too were any postseason aspirations for the Packers. Is that being a bit dramatic for a team tied for first in their division? Well, it depends on just how much you think one man means to a team. The oddsmakers seem to think that one man means about nine points as this line plummeted from Green Bay as a 10 point favorite to a virtual NFL pick as of this writing.

Seneca Wallace will do the honors in place of Aaron Rodgers and if the journeyman looks as bewildered as he did last week when he was unexpectedly foisted into the heat of battle then this could be a very long day for the Packers as well as a disappointing one for their fans. However, the Packers do one thing very well (besides having Aaron Rodgers light up the scoreboard) and that is their ability to run the ball. 

Former Alabama star Eddie Lacy has delivered mightily for the Packers since returning from a concussion in Week 5. Since then he has the most rushing yards in the NFL with 545 and last week in a losing cause against the Bears, 97 of Lacy's 150 yards came after contact which is the most for a running back this season. Expect the Packers to ground and pound their way on Sunday using Eddie Lacy as their sledgehammer.

The Free Pick

It's just too easy to reflect upon last week and contrast Nick Foles historic performance against the backdrop of a writhing Aaron Rodgers replaced in a losing effort by a journeyman quarterback whose only claim to fame in his 10 years in the league is that his name reminds many of instant coffee. 

But does that mean that all the other good players disappeared on the Packers roster along with Rodgers? Of course not but it sure as hell makes them a whole lot less effective. Even Eddie Lacy will feel the absence of Green Bay's field marshal when the Eagles defense can scheme more fully on the run game without worrying about Air Rodgers torching them deep.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":227004, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

I'm going to give a slight lean on the visitors here who have momentum in their corner and a quarterback who may now have the swagger and confidence of a surefire starter in the NFL.

Play Philadelphia +1 in your NFL picks on Sunday at Bet365.com.

comment here