We’ll start with the bad, which was Jacksonville’s 37-13 loss to the Jets in Week 2. To make matters worse, their starting quarterback, Blaine Gabbert broke his finger, and will be out for the rest of the preseason. They gave up 37 points to the Jets in Week 2, a team that isn’t much known for their offense. On top of it all, the Jags have only scored 3, and 13 points respectfully in their first two preseason games. The one touchdown they do have was from Gabbert, who will obviously not play in Week 3.
The Eagles turned their bad Week 1 into a nice Week 2 win over the Panthers. The defense played infinitely better, holding the Panthers to only 278 yards of total offense, and only three yards per carry on the ground. Michael Vick has now been named the starter (in the video I stated Foles would get a chance to start; that was last week), and will likely play in a majority of the first half in this game coming up against the Jaguars.
It seems to me that the sportsbooks really want us to lay the points with the Eagles on the road here. With all things considered between the Jags and Eagles, it seems as though Vick is going to go down there and beat up Jacksonville. But if that’s the case, the spread should be a bit higher, and it makes me think this -3 line is a trap.
However, instead of wasting time thinking about the seemingly very stupid idea of taking points with the Jaguars, I think a play more focused on the total is the way to go in this one. At 43 in the NFL Odds, it seems much too high for a Jags’ offense that will struggle to get into double digits.
To get to 43 points, the Eagles will need some help from Jacksonville, and I don’t see it coming. The Eagles offense has not been great throughout the preseason, but they do have the ability to put up points against this questionable Jags defense.
The Sharp Pick
With two new head coaches in this game, it’s hard to look at any trends coming into the game. However with both teams likely starting to game plan for one another in this game, I think the defenses will actually have a better edge coming into Week 3. With no Gabbert for the Jags, and the Eagles still working out the kinks of Chip Kelly’s new offense, I don’t see the total getting above 43 points. There is just too many variables with the spread, and it looks as if the ‘Under’ is the most logical and safest NFL pick.
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