NFL Picks: Eagles vs. Giants in Week 5

Doug Upstone

Wednesday, October 2, 2013 8:05 PM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 2, 2013 8:05 PM UTC

It borders on insanity to think after a month these former NFC behemoths are among the worst teams in football.

Yet, this where we are and those setting the NFL odds can only shake their head in astonishment and post the numbers, wondering like the rest of us what happened.

Our Week 5 NFL coverage continues! Follow our Daily NFL Week 5 Betting Odds Report!

Are the Giants this bad or just cashing checks?

When doing my NFL Power Ratings Monday night, even I paused to reflect on the New York football Giants coming in 30th, ahead of just St. Louis and those crazy cats from Jacksonville.

The Giants have played three dolorous contests in row, being crushed by an average of 27 points a game. Even the most fervent Giants fans who plays in football pools or makes sports picks has to wonder how much his team really wants to play.

Justin Tuck publicly challenged any teammate who would cross Coach Tom Coughlin and safety Antrel Rolle addressed the team collectively, asking to do so. He expressed his feelings and reportedly said he was glad the first quarter of the season was behind them and he and they should look forward to the next dozen games.

While the sentiment is well intended, there are 50 other individuals in the Giants locker room interested in climbing out of a 0-4 hole.

Defense and Offensive Efficiency ruining Eagles season

In retrospect, what we thought about Philadelphia has come true under coach Chip Kelly. The Eagles offense plays fast; they move the ball and for the most part score on big plays.

Unfortunately, Kelly realizes he’s not in Eugene anymore. Previously, weaknesses were addressed with recruiting, now Kelly goes to battle with defensive players giving up 36.5 points on average and they are on pace to break the NFL record for yards allowed, as noted by most NFL football handicappers. Thankfully, they are in the NFC East, thus the numbers should improve, if not the talent.

Kelly’s Eagles are second in total offense, but 26th in the league in red-zone efficiency, converting just five of 12 inside-the-20 opportunities into touchdowns. While Michael Vick has been a contributor, so has the offensive line with porous blocking and receivers dropping balls.

NFL Betting Odds and Matchup Numbers

Somebody has to be the favorite and the home team in blue is at 2.5-points. From January of 2007 thru the 2011 season, the road team was 7-2 ATS with six victories. Last season, the home team won both times (1-0-1 ATS).

The total has been moving around like a Victor Cruz touchdown dance, starting at 55.5 at most sportsbooks, sinking to 53.5 before gyrating back to 54.5. Of note, the Giants are 9-1 ‘Under’ in games where the line is +3 to -3 the last two seasons.


What to Watch For

Michael Vick is back to being what he is, a mediocre short passer too often off target, but a quarterback who is capable of hitting big plays to a receiver like DeSean Jackson.

Philadelphia will move the pigskin, yet has to have better blocking in the red zone and find ways to feed LeSean McCoy properly in scoring spots.

New York is averaging four turnovers a game; the Eagles defense has not forced one in two games. Philly will give up yards, but can help themselves and the offensive by attacking the football.

With Eli Manning under more constant attack then the Affordable Care Act, the New York offensive has to give their quarterback a chance to throw the ball down the field. It might not be the most popular answer, but if RB David Wilson can hang on to the ball and average four yards a carry, the offense could have balance for a change.

The defense gave up 390 yards to Kansas City and can help itself by doing a better job of guarding between the hashmarks, which has not been an area the Eagles have attacked as frequently under Kelly.

Final Outcome

While this will not be one of my favorite NFL picks, I take notice the Eagles are 0-8 ATS in games when the line is +3 to -3 and will supply support towards Big Blue.

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NFL Pick: Bet the Giants -2 on the spread, available at Ladbrokes

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