NFL Picks: Divisional Odds To Win Super Bowl & Division Breakdowns

Kevin Stott

Thursday, March 10, 2016 9:52 PM GMT

The NFL Regular Season is still six months away, but sportsbooks already have NFL Super Bowl odds, Season Team Win Totals and now Divisional odds up for the coming Regular Season. Let’s take a look. 

Introduction: Boarding a Good Longshot Ship in the 2016 Regular Season—the USS Cutty and the Chicago Bears
San José, Costa Rica sportsbook operator Sportsbook.ag has posted its 2016 NFL Regular Season NFL Divisional winner odds and three of the NFL’s eight division have all four teams in plus (+) territory, meaning those divisions are perceived to be wide-open by the oddsmakers for this coming season. One interesting division in which there is a distinct favorite (as always) is the NFC North where Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers (12/1 to win Super Bowl, Unibet) have ruled the roost for much of the Millennium.

Now it’s true the Minnesota Vikings (28/1 to win Super Bowl, Sportingbet) and QB Teddy Bridgewater are on the upswing and that NFL odds makers here have even given the Detroit Lions (10/1 to win NFC North, Sportsbook.ag) a better chance to win the division that the Midway Maulers, but Chicago Head Coach John Fox will be entering his 2nd year in charge and the Bears (12/1 to win NFC North, Sportsbook.ag) and mercurial QB Jay Cutler will be getting a load of Receiving talent back this season in WR Alshon Jeffery (54 receptions, 807 yards)—who just signed a $14.599 million Franchise Tag tender today (Tuesday) with the club—and dynamic Rookie and 2015 Round 1 pick Kevin White (West Virginia), who will finally get to strut his stuff in the Windy City after a Shin Injury sidelined him the entire 2015/16 campaign.

Then toss in WR Eddie Royal, WR Marquess Wilson, 2nd-year (Louisville) WR Josh Bellamy, WR Marc Mariani, TEs Martellus Bennett and Khari Lee and RBs Jacquizz Rodgers and standout Rookie (Michigan State) Jeremy Langford, and Cutler does have a variety of nice weapons who will importantly all be hungry for Playing Time and to prove their worth. Coming off Injuries and being Young will cumulatively do that to an NFL Roster sometimes, and with an improved Defense, some Confidence and getting lopsided 12/1 odds, taking a small shot on the Chicago Bears (80/1 to win Super Bowl, William Hill) in this marketplace seems well worth the while as the Packers and Lions have regressed and the Vikings aren’t as great as thought and too dependent on veteran RB Adrian Peterson.

The Bears Cutler and White could quickly become a dangerous combination in the NFC North with the Mike Wallace experiment not working in Minnesota (the Vikings released the WR Tuesday afternoon), the Packers dealing with last season’s Injury to Jordy Nelson and WR partner Randall Cobb’s mediocre year and the Lions coming to grips with seeing legendary WR Calvin Johnson deciding to call it quits this week. So suddenly, Jeffery and White can become a deadly duo in the NFC North if everything goes the Bears way. And it could in 2016.

 

NFL 2016 Regular Season Odds to Win Division—Sportsbook.ag (March 8, 2016)

AFC East Division

New England Patriots -200

New York Jets +400

Buffalo Bills +550

Miami Dolphins +900

 

AFC South Division

Indianapolis Colts -210

Houston Texans +300

Jacksonville Jaguars +800

Tennessee Titans +1200

 

AFC North Division

Pittsburgh Steelers +140

Cincinnati Bengals +180

Baltimore Ravens +290

Cleveland Browns +3500

 

AFC West Division

Denver Broncos +175

Kansas City Chiefs +200

Oakland Raiders +320

San Diego Chargers +550

 

NFC East Division

Dallas Cowboys +220

New York Giants +250

Philadelphia Eagles +300

Washington Redskins +300

 

NFC South Division

Carolina Panthers -220

Atlanta Falcons +500

New Orleans Saints +700

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +700

 

NFC North Division

Green Bay Packers -160

Minnesota Vikings +180

Detroit Lions +1000

Chicago Bears +1200

 

NFC West Division

Seattle Seahawks -175

Arizona Cardinals +200

Los Angeles Rams +800

San Francisco 49ers +1500

 

Conclusions: In Brock Osweiler and Von Miller We Trust and NFL Divisional Odds From CG Technology
All in all, the odds from Sportsbook.ag seem pretty tight, with the Denver Broncos (+175 to win AFC West) and the Chicago Bears (+1200 to win NFC North) looking like they make have some perceived value from this long distance. Why? Denver has W5 straight AFC West titles and even with future Hall of Fame QB QB Peyton Manning riding off into the Sunset and Alex Smith and the Kansas City Chiefs (+200 to win AFC West,Sportsbook.ag) and David Carr, Amari Cooper and the improving Oakland Raiders (+320 to win NFC West, Sportsbook.ag) both on the upswing along  with the always mysterious presence of Philip Rivers and the enigmatic San Diego Chargers (+550 to win NFC West, Sportsbook.ag), with that historic Defense, Denver is still the team to beat in the AFC West. Keep it Simple.

And the Broncos (16/1 to win Super Bowl, BetVictor) will likely be for at least a couple of more seasons as the oft-underappreciated culture of NFL football is massive in the Mile High City and always has been. Nobody wins in Denver, but Denver. And at a healthy +175 right now, taking a gamble on the extremely tall (6-7) and thick (240 pounds) 5th-year Arizona State product Osweiler to shine in his time taking over the Offense seems wise as this big kid is more than an understudy and has the tools and some very valuable experience under his belt because of Manning’s injuries, sagging performance and advancing Age last season. Father Time don’t play.

Also, CG Technology is offering up odds for specific NFL Divisions to win the Super Bowl, with the AFC East (+360) the favorite of the league’s eight increasingly even divisions to win Super Bowl LI, solely because of Head Coach Bill Belichick, QB Tom Brady and the New England Patriots and the balance of their AFC East, followed by the NFC North (+400), the NFC West (+400), the AFC North (+450), Von Miller, the defending Super Bowl champion Denver Broncos and the AFC West (+500), the NFC East (+550), the NFC South (+650) and, last but least, the lowly AFC South (+900), primarily because of the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars and the Tennessee Titans.

And with that terrific twosome of Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks (8/1 to win Super Bowl, Betfair) and the Larry Fitzgerald and the Arizona Cardinals (14/1 to win Super Bowl, totesport), backing the NFC West to capture Super Bowl LI in Houston next February at +400 odds in this market seems wise as this NFC West division seems to offer the best duo of potential NFL champions this coming season despite the Steelers-Bengals representing the AFC North (+450) and the Packers-Vikings or maybe Vanderbilt-product Cutty and those aforementioned Bears in the evolving NFC North (+450). These are strange times we live in after all. My final NFL picks are as follows: 

NFL DIVISIONAL PICK: Denver Broncos +175 to Win AFC West (Sportsbook.ag)
NFL DIVISIONAL LONGSHOT PICK: Chicago Bears 12/1 to Win NFC North (Sportsbook.ag)
NFL SUPER BOWL DIVISIONAL WINNER PICK: NFC West +400 (CG Technology)