NFL Picks: Detroit Lions Team Profile 2015

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, August 19, 2015 5:15 PM GMT

Wednesday, Aug. 19, 2015 5:15 PM GMT

The Lions made for the playoffs for the second time in four seasons last year following a 12-year absence before that, and they hope to make it back-to-back post-seasons in 2015. 

 

The 2015 NFL season is almost here as it kicks off Thursday night, September 10th, but before we get to Kickoff Weekend, we will be here presenting daily team profiles in an attempt to assist you with your NFL picks before the season starts. Today we are profiling the Detroit Lions, who finished 11-5 in 2014 and in second place in the NFC North before losing to the Dallas Cowboys in the Wild Card Round of the NFL Playoffs.

 

To start things off, here is a summary of the Detroit betting statistics over the past five seasons. Please note that all of these statistics are for regular season games only.

 

Detroit Lions Betting Stats, 2010 through 2014

   Home  Away  Overall
ATS Overall  22-17-1    16-22-2    38-39-3  
ATS Favorite  15-13-1  5-9-2  20-22-3
ATS Underdog  7-4  10-12  17-16
Avg. Margin  +4.9  -3.1  +0.9
Over – Under  23-17  20-18-2  43-35-2
Avg. Total Score    48.3  46.1  47.2

 

The Lions have had a pronounced home field advantage the last five years winning their home games by an average of +4.9 points while losing by an average of -3.1 points on the road and they have been weak road favorites at 35.7 percent ATS over 16 occurrences. Detroit has also been a good ‘over’ team on the artificial turf of home at 57.5 percent.
Key Trend: Detroit is 9-24-1, 27.3 percent ATS vs. conference opponents after being a favorite in its previous game.

Up next, we take a look at the Lions’ statistical summary for the 2014 season.

 

2014 Detroit Lions Team Statistics (Per Game)

   Offense    Off. Rank   Defense    Def. Rank 
Points  20.1  22nd  18.0  3rd
Rushing  88.9  28th  69.5  1st
Yds. Per Rush    3.6  28th  3.2  1st
Passing  254.5  11th  232.2  13th
Yds Per Pass  6.7  17th  6.3  7th
Total Yards  343.5  17th  301.8  2nd
Yds. Per Play  5.5  20th  5.2  4th

 

The Lions have had an offensive reputation for several years, but they were actually toward the bottom of the league offensively last season as their return to the playoffs was keyed by surprisingly ranking second in the NFL in total defense behind only the Seattle Seahawks! With that being said, the 24-20 loss to the Cowboys in the Wild Card Round means that Detroit has still not won a playoff game since way back in 1991.

And now we shall take a peek at various Detroit Future Odds for this 2015 season from several sportsbooks. You can view these and other future and prop odds on the Sportsbook Review Futures and Prop Bets Directory.

 

2015 Detroit Lions NFL Futures

   5 Dimes  Bookmaker    Bovada  Heritage
Super Bowl Odds    +3800  +4000  +4000  +3700
NFC Conf. Odds  +1600  +2048  +2200  +1550
NFC North Odds  +615  +555  +600  +600
Win Total  8½ un-150    8½ un-165  8 ov-150     8½ un-140  

 

The Lions are the second choice to win the NFC North, but it is a distant second choice behind the Green Bay Packers. And after winning 11 games last season, sportsbooks are expecting closer to a .500 season this year with the ‘under’ juiced on the Detroit 8½ win total at most spots, a figure that should thwart the Lions quest for a second straight playoff appearance and third in five years, a period preceded by a 12-year playoff drought before 2011.

 

Detroit Lions Key Additions
The Lions added some nice veterans such as wide receiver Lance Moore to the offense and defensive tackle Haloti Ngata to the defense. However, the two biggest additions may have come via the NFL Draft as first round pick, guard G Laken Tomlinson, immediately upgrades an offensive line that was a sore spot last season, and the second pick, running back Ameer Abdullah, has impressed enough to probably be the Week 1 starter!

Detroit Lions Key Losses
The Lions lost running back Reggie Bush, which is probably a sustainable loss. However, do not expect the defense to be second in the league in total defense again after losing four defensive linemen in Ndamukong Suh, Nick Fairley, C.J. Mosley and Andre Fluellen.

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