The Broncos and Peyton Manning come into the 2013 season as one of the biggest favorites to win the AFC and thus, the Super Bowl. Denver has a lot of expectations on them this season, after an offseason of gearing up, as well as their early exit to last season.
Super Bowl (+650)
Priced only behind the NFC champs last season, the 49ers, the Broncos are one of the clear favorites in the NFL future odds. At the start of the offseason, Denver was about even with the Patriots and Niners to win the Super Bowl, however since then the Broncos have moved right in front of New England and right behind San Francisco in the odds from Bet365. Although I’m a little resistant to take the Broncos in the future odds, I would not fault you one second for placing a bet on Denver to win it all. I am a bit concerned however as to how they are slightly overvalued in the AFC future odds.
The Broncos are the loan favorite in the AFC odds, ahead of both the Patriots and Texans. While I do think the Broncos are going to be a great team this season, there are a few things standing in their way. First of all is they haven’t done much to improve their areas of need. I like the Montee Ball draft pick, but he is not the answer at running back right now. Plus Willis McGahee is one more hard hit away from retirement. Seeing as they are slightly overvalued in the AFC odds, does that mean the Broncos will be overvalued in early season games?
It’s going to be very hard to bet against the Broncos this season. They have one of the best teams the city has seen since John Elway was playing and not making personnel decisions, and they have the easiest strength of schedule in the NFL this season according to preseason odds.
Although preseason strength of schedule means little to nothing for postseason success, the Broncos are almost certainly going to have a high win number in mind when it comes to this season. But for Peyton Manning, he will have to be spectacular in the postseason if Denver wants another Super Bowl. As many others and I have stated before, Manning does not have the best postseason career record, and if it weren’t for his loan Super Bowl in Indianapolis, it would look a hell of a lot worse.Could this be the season that Manning leads his second team to the ultimate prize? If they can play some defense and run the ball like they wanted to last season, I see this as the year where I can recommend the Broncos, however being a little overvalued right now, I might wait for better odds. It also concerns me a little about them being overvalued, but I also think you might be able to take advantage early in the season by possibly fading Denver with your NFL picks.