NFL Picks: Dallas Cowboys Team Profile 2015

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, August 12, 2015 7:38 PM GMT

Each day until the start of the 2015 NFL season, LT Profits will provide a team profile that can be referred to when making NFL picks. Today they look at the Dallas Cowboys.

 


The 2015 NFL season is set to commence on Thursday, September 10th, but before we get to Kickoff Weekend, we will be here presenting daily team profiles in an attempt to assist you with your NFL picks well in advance. Today we are profiling the Dallas Cowboys, who finished 12-4 in 2014 and in first place in the NFC East before advancing to the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs, where they lost at Green Bay 26-21.

First of all, here is a summary of the Dallas betting statistics over the past five seasons. Take note all of these statistics are for regular season games only.

 

Dallas Cowboys Betting Stats, 2010 through 2014

   Home  Away  Overall
ATS Overall  14-26  22-17-1    36-43-1  
ATS Favorite  8-22  7-9-1  15-31-1
ATS Underdog  6-3  15-8  21-11
Avg. Margin  +2.2  -0.3  +1.0
Over – Under  23-16-1    22-18  45-34-1
Avg. Total Score    52.4  47.9  50.2

 

The Cowboys have been like night and day at home and on the road over the last five years, being at their finest as road underdogs hitting at a 65.2 percent clip ATS and at their very worst as home favorites at a preposterous 26.7 percent ATS! They have been a solid ‘over’ team overall regardless of the venue as it has gone 57.0 percent over all Dallas games.
Key Trend: Dallas is 3-15, 16.7 percent ATS as a conference favorite when coming off of an ATS loss.

Next we examine the Cowboys’ statistical summary for the 2014 season.

 

2014 Dallas Cowboys Team Statistics (Per Game)

   Offense    Off. Rank   Defense    Def. Rank 
Points  28.4  5th  22.1  15th
Rushing  142.6  2nd  103.3  8th
Yds. Per Rush    4.6   4th  4.2  16th
Passing  232.2  16th  258.0  28th
Yds Per Pass  7.9  1st  7.3  26th
Total Yards  374.8  9th  361.3  21st
Yds. Per Play  6.2  4th  6.0  26th

 

The Cowboys were one overruled reception by Dez Bryant away from the NFC Championship Game last year, which was a bitter end to an otherwise positive season that saw the Cowboys return to the playoffs for the first time since 2009 and as NFC East Champions at 12-4 at that! Remarkably, the loss at Green Bay in the playoffs followed a regular season where Dallas went a perfect 8-0 on the road.

Now we take a peek at various Dallas Future Odds for this 2015 season from several sportsbooks. You can view these and other future and prop odds on the Sportsbook Review Futures and Prop Bets Directory.

 

 

2015 Dallas Cowboys NFL Futures

   5 Dimes  Bookmaker    Bovada  Heritage
Super Bowl Odds    +1850  +1348  +1200  +1400
NFC Conf. Odds  +875  +708  +650  +850
NFC East Odds  +120  -105  +125  +115
Win Total  9½ ov-120    9½ ov-112  9½ ov-125    9½ ov-120  

 

The Cowboys are favored to win the NFC East, but it looks like the sportsbooks are projecting around a 10-win season, which would be a two-game decline from last year. Much of that has to do with the departure of the leading rusher in the NFL in 2014 in Demarco Murray, and to a division rival in the Philadelphia Eagles no less, and the suspect Dallas defensive secondary could get exploited more if the Cowboys cannot control the clock as well with the run.

 

Dallas Cowboys Key Additions
Key veteran additions include running back Darren McFadden and defensive end Greg Hardy, although after the first injury-free season of his NFL career, McFadden has yet to see the practice field as a Cowboy due to a hamstring injury. The news is brighter regarding Hardy as he had his suspension reduced to four games. And Dallas attempted to help that secondary with the selection of cornerback Byron Jones in the first round of the NFL Draft.

Dallas Cowboys Key Losses
The biggest loss was obviously Murray on the offense, but the defense lost a lot with the departures of defensive ends Anthony Spencer and George Selvie, defensive tackle Henry Melton and linebacker Bruce Carter.