NFL Picks: Cowboys (-1.5) Will End Panthers' Unbeaten Run

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, November 25, 2015 7:25 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 25, 2015 7:25 PM UTC

In this article we analyze the Panthers vs. Cowboys game. Go inside to find out who we like for our NFL pick of the day on Thanksgiving.

Carolina Panthers vs. Dallas Cowboys (-1.5) 4:30 ET
The Carolina Panthers travel to Big D to faceoff with the Dallas Cowboys for this 4:30 ET kick in the home that Mr. Jones built.  It is a battle of two teams with dichotomous records and leaves sports bettors scratching their heads when trying to analyze this point spread.  After all, it is a matchup of the undefeated Carolina Panthers against the 3-7 SU, 2-8 ATS Dallas Cowboys.  Why would the Cowboys be favored by 1.5 points?  Or, in the minds of Cowboy backers, is Tony Romo really that good?


Carolina Panthers
Carolina enters today looking like the best team in the NFC.  What’s not to like?  They run the ball 34 times per game for 140 RYPG.  Note that any team who runs the ball 34 times per game, while their opponent does not is a near 85% pointspread winner (including 9-0 ATS last Sunday, November 22nd!).  While controlling the ball overland, they have a versatile signal caller in QB Newton who can make plays with both, his arms and his feet.  The defense is among the best in the NFL, allowing only 95 RYPG, only 58% completions and just 5.0 YP play, a number that is second only to Denver.  They have scored 27 or more points, 8 consecutive weeks and have won 14 straight, regular season games.  Last week, they defeated Washington (44-16), outrushing the Skins 142-14 for a total yardage edge of 368-186.  Throw in a (+5) net TO margin and you get an “as easy as it comes in the NFL (44-16) victory.”  This, on the heels of 4 consecutive mid-season revenge victories against Seattle, Philly Indianapolis and Green Bay!  Looking at those numbers, is it any wonder that the public is finally sold on these Panthers?


Dallas Cowboys
Lying in wait is a Dallas Cowboys team, who despite being 3-7 SU, 2-8 ATS, remains just 2 games behind the NY Giants in the NFC East.  With the return of QB Romo, hope springs eternal, after last week’s return of their signal caller led to a (24-14) road victory at Miami.  They outrushed Miami 38/166 to 14/70 and Steamrolled their way (yes, that was the label on last week’s Dallas victory) to a 24-14 victory.  Clearly, they will not lack for motivation with the undefeated Panthers coming to town for the weekend feast.

I invite you to celebrate your Thanksgiving entrée with this main course by putting the NFL odds in your favor as the Cowboys devour the Panthers as our NFL pick of the day this Thanksgiving!

NFL Picks: Cowboys -1.5 at Pinnacle

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