NFL Picks: Conference Championship Betting Odds Report

Jordan Sharp

Monday, January 12, 2015 4:31 PM UTC

Monday, Jan. 12, 2015 4:31 PM UTC

After a wild weekend of football, we are down to the final four. The NFL Odds for both championship games are out and ready, I am back to help walk you through the odds for your NFL Picks. 

Packers vs. Seahawks
Aaron Rodgers battled through a torn calf to beat the Cowboys in the Divisional Round, and now their award is a trip to Seattle to play the Seahawks. The NFL Odds opened in favor of the Hawks at -7 ½, with a total of 46 ½. This is one of the higher totals Seattle has faced this season, especially at home. However with the injury to Rodgers, and only a week to prepare for one of the league’s toughest defenses, one has to think that the Packers are being given a ton of points because of this.

In their opening meeting to begin the season, the Packers were demolished 36-16. Rodgers was held to less than 200 yards and he was fully healthy, and now playing on one leg, the prospects of him being able to best the Hawks on the road are not good. However I do think there will be people out there who believe in Rodgers on the road, and it would not surprise me to see this line drop some before Sunday. The NFL Odds at +6 ½ or an even +7 seem more likely by the time the line closes. Right now there are some sportsbooks that have the line at -7, but it either has more chalk at -120 if you want to bet the Hawks, or it has the odds at even money. For your NFL picks, take into consideration that odds will potentially shrink by a half point before Sunday.

Colts vs. Patriots
The only upset of the Divisional weekend was the Colts potentially putting an end to the Peyton Manning era. Indianapolis upset the Broncos on the road by double digits, and now they are on their way to Boston to play the number-one seeded Patriots. The NFL odds have the Pats as -7 favorites, with a huge total of 53 ½.

While this game could end up as a shoot out like the total suggests, the Colts’ defense put on a show this past week, and if they bring that same defense to New England, this could be a lower scoring game. While weather doesn’t look like it’s going to be an issue, both of these teams have the ability to hold the other to 24 points per less. It is for this reason that I am going to take a long look at the total this week for this game, because while it could end up a shoot out, a sneakier play might be the under.

The game will boil down to who plays defense the best. The Patriots have shown that they can slow down opponents enough for Tom Brady to win the game, but the Colts are a better offensive team than the Ravens, and the Pats gave up over 30 points to them last week. However the Colts on the other hand have gone five straight weeks without giving up more than 13 points in a game. If this one ends up a defensive battle, the total of 53 ½ is going way under. Look for it to potentially shrink before the game on Sunday night.

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