NFL Picks: Colts vs. Giants in Preseason Week 2

Thursday, August 15, 2013 4:13 PM UTC

Thursday, Aug. 15, 2013 4:13 PM UTC

The Colts and Giants help finish off Week 2 of the NFL Preseason on Sunday. Which team should we back going into the Week 2's preseason finale?

The NFL odds for this matchup favor the Giants here at -1.5, with a total of 40 points. After opening up at -3, the line has been cut in half this week, so can we expect more movement throughout the week, or will the spread stick at -1.5?

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Week 1

The Giants took care of the Steelers in a game that looked like neither team had much interest in winning. The Giants edged out Pittsburgh 18-13, and a big reason why was the long touchdown pass from Eli Manning to Victor Cruz early in their second drive. After leading his team down the field for a field goal in the first drive, Manning hooked up with Cruz for a 57-yard TD, which turned out to be the difference in the game.

The Colts on the other hand got blasted by the Bills 44-20, in what was one of the most lopsided games of Week 1. Chuck Pagano only let Andrew Luck play in two series, and the Colts failed to score on either one. This week, I think we can expect Pagano and Tom Coughlin to play their starting offense and defense a little longer against one another, but will either take this game seriously? It’s hard to tell, but I think I found some sports pick value in one of these teams.

Preseasons of the past

You can’t really look at Pagano’s record in the preseason because it barely exists, but Coughlin’s does. With their win in Week 1, Coughlin improved his preseason record to 36-30-2 ATS and 38-32 SU. He is also 6-3 SU in his career in Week 2 of the preseason.

With that being said, coming off a win in Week 1, I doubt Coughlin goes searching for a fight so to speak. On the other hand, Colts owner Jim Irsay was very vocal on how his team played in the first game of the preseason, and while it doesn’t mean anything really, when the guy who signs your checks isn’t happy, you tend to pick up your performance, or at the very least try to make him happy. I see just that happening in this game, and I think even though the Colts have dropped from +3 to +1.5, I still think they are the play here on the road.

Underdogs went 10-6 ATS in Week 1 of the preseason, and I think we will see a similar trend continuing into this week. The Colts laid down to the Bills last week, and even though they’ll be smart about it, I see them gunning for this game against a tougher opponent.


 The Sharp Pick

On top of the Colts likely trying to win the game, the Giants know their passing offense is set. They need to worry more about the running game. Out of 68 plays last week, only 31 were passing plays, and it wouldn’t surprise me to see that margin widen in Week 2.The Giants need to figure out their running back rotation, and if you watched their Week 1 game, none of the RBs looked that good. Andre Brown fumbled and David Wilson ran the ball five times for only 16 yards. If I were Coughlin, I would be much more worried about that side of the offense. I could see a 2/1 split of rushing to passing plays for the Giants in this game, and if that’s the case, the Colts will pass their way to victory. Take the few points left for your NFL picks.

NFL Pick: Choose the Colts on the spread, +1.5 at Bet365

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