After their dazzling home defeat of the Seahawks, the Colts take their show on the road this week, and on Monday night they will play Phillip Rivers and the Chargers. The NFL odds for the game have opened up with the Colts as slight -1 favorites on the road, with a total of 49 points. Will Indianapolis take it to the Chargers’ soft defense in this matchup, or will it turn into a shoot out in southern California?
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Indy’s Super Bowl chances
Pete and I highlighted some Super Bowl long shots that seemed to have some value this offseason, and the Colts were #1 on both of our lists at +3000. They became a more complete team this offseason, adding some defense to their already stout offense. The Trent Richardson trade is going to start working out soon, as he should be fully up to speed on the play book by now.
Either way, with the way Andrew Luck has been playing this season, it looks as if the Colts have fully emerged as one of the favorites to not only win their division, but possibly the AFC. We get to see a potential AFC Title game preview next week when the Broncos and Colts play, but alas, the Colts have their eyes on winning in San Diego this week.
The Chargers had to play late into Sunday night due to the baseball playoffs, and it did not serve them well in Oakland this past week. Even though they lost on the road, I still think the Chargers have a great team, and their defense comes to play when they are at home.
If Rivers can move the ball on the underrated Colts’ defense, they could very well win this game. It’s going to be tough now with Ryan Matthews out for at least the next month with a concussion, and with all the other injuries the Chargers have sustained, it makes you wonder what this game would have looked like with San Diego fully healthy.
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Even though they don’t play one another very often, these two have had a history dating back to the Peyton Manning era in Indy. The Chargers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against the Colts, but this is the first time in the Luck-era that the Colts and Chargers will meet.
This shouldn’t be a blowout by any means, and in fact, it could be a lower scoring game believe it or not. Even though this game does have the capability of being in the 30s for each team, it could also very well end in the 20s. Both of these defenses are terribly underrated in their own right.
The under is 4-2 the last six times these two have gotten together, and while the under has cashed in three of the Colts’ five games so far this season, the under has also cashed in two of the last three games for the Chargers. Right now my lean on the side is going towards the Colts, but we have several more days before I have to make that official. Make sure you check back later in the week for my NFL picks on the spread.