Cincinnati is laying six points right now, but keep checking the NFL odds to see if there's any further movement before kickoff. Finding the best value is crucial to staying on the positive side of things with your NFL picks.
We find an O/U of 40.5 to 41 points, with the OVER at 7-5 in Indianapolis' games and 6-5-1 in those involving Cincinnati.
It wasn't pretty, but the Colts survived to win 22-14 over the Titans in Week 13. Coming in they were favored by 3.5 points, so their backers were left pleased by the final result.
The Tennessee defense gave Andrew Luck problems. He completed only 17-of-32 passes for 200 yards and was held without a touchdown. He did manage 42 rushing yards in the win however.
Donald Brown, taking over the lead back role for an ineffective Trent Richardson, ran 14 times for 54 yards and added two receptions for 10 yards. Richardson ended up with five rushes for 19 yards. Coby Fleener led the tam in receiving with 50 yards.
Now it's time for Indianapolis to head back on the road, where they're 4-2 SU and 4-2 ATS.
So far the Colts have beaten San Francisco, Tennessee, Jacksonville and Houston outside of Indy, while their losses came against Arizona and San Diego.
The Bengals will try to protect a spotless 5-0 home record (both SU and ATS) this weekend. They've beaten Pittsburgh (20-10), Green Bay (34-30), New England (13-6), Cleveland (41-20) and the New York Jets (49-9) already and hope to make it 6-0 after this weekend's over and done with.
Last weekend Cincinnati went into San Diego and beat the Chargers 17-10.
Defensively the Bengals were fantastic, as they held Philip Rivers and company to their lowest point total of the season. Cincinnati forced three turnovers and also sacked Rivers twice in the huge road win.
On the other side of the ball, it wasn't anything to write home about, but it was enough. Andy Dalton went for 190 passing yards and one touchdown while also getting picked off once, with AJ Green hauling in five balls for 83 yards and the score. BenJarvus Green-Ellis ran for 92 yards and a TD on 20 carries and Giovani Bernard added 66 total yards of his own.
It was a hard-fought win out of Marvin Lewis' gang but there's no time to rest. Andrew Luck's coming to town.
The Bengals are extremely tough at home, but do they deserve to be favored at six points by sportsbooks?
We think so. Indianapolis hasn't looked nearly as good offensively since Reggie Wayne went down. Plus, Trent Richardson has been a complete bust since switching colors and that offensive line has been nothing short of atrocious.
Meanwhile, the Bengals are high on confidence and have been much more effective on both sides of the ball. Whereas Indianapolis is ranked #20 in total offense and #21 in total defense, Cincinnati is #12 and #6 respectively.
Many will be drawn in by getting six points in this spot, but we're going the other way and siding with the Bengals to win by a touchdown or more.
Pick: Cincinnati Bengals -6