NFL Picks: Cleveland Browns Team Profile 2015

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, July 29, 2015 3:30 PM GMT

Each day until the start of the 2015 NFL season, LT Profits will provide a team profile that can be referred to when making NFL picks. Today they look at the Cleveland Browns.

 


The new 2015 NFL season kicks off Thursday night, September 10th, and in an attempt to assist you with your NFL picks, we are presenting daily team profiles in advance of that much-anticipated opener. Today we are profiling the Cleveland Browns, who finished 7-9 in 2014 and in fourth place in the AFC North.

First, here is a summary of the Cleveland betting statistics over the past five seasons. Take note that these stats are for regular season games only.

 

Cleveland Browns Betting Stats, 2010 through 2014

   Home    Away    Overall  
ATS Overall  17-22-1    19-18-3    36-40-4   
ATS Favorite  5-11-1  2-1-1  7-12-2
ATS Underdog  12-10  17-15-2  29-25-2
Avg. Margin  -2.7  -6.1  -4.4
Over – Under  16-24  16-23-1  32-47-1
Avg. Total Score    39.1  39.7  39.4

 

The Browns have actually been better bets on the road than at home, although the 19-18-3 road ATS mark is not enough to turn a profit. They have been especially dreadful as home favorites going just 31.3 percent ATS in that role. Cleveland has also been a great ‘under’ team the last five years as it has hit 59.5 percent of the time.
Key Trend: The ‘under’ is 23-5, 82.1 percent in Cleveland conference games when coming off of a road game.

Up next, we take a look at the Browns’ statistical summary for the 2014 season.

 

2014 Cleveland Browns Team Statistics (Per Game)

   Offense    Off. Rank   Defense    Def. Rank 
Points  18.7  27th  21.1  9th
Rushing  106.7  17th  141.2  32nd
Yds. Per Rush    3.6  29th  4.5  28th
Passing  217.8  20th  224.0  11th
Yds Per Pass  6.9  14th  6.1  5th
Total Yards  324.6  23rd  365.2  22nd
Yds. Per Play  5.3  26th  5.4  6th

 

The good news is that the Browns improved from 4-12 in 2013 to 7-9 last season, their first year without double-digit losses since 2007. The bad news is that they still finished in last place and fell out of playoff consideration late in the year, marking their 12th straight season without making the post-season, which is the longest such drought in franchise history.

Now, let us take a peek at various Cleveland Future Odds for this 2015 season from several sportsbooks. You can view these and other future and prop odds on the Sportsbook Review Futures and Prop Bets Directory.

 

2015 Cleveland Browns NFL Futures

   5 Dimes  Bookmaker    Bovada  Heritage
Super Bowl Odds    +24000  +11993  +10000  +21500 
AFC Conf. Odds    +6000  +6000  +4000  +5800
AFC North Odds  +1175  +1205  +900  +1100
Win Total  6½ u-145    6½ u-145  6½ u-135    6½ u-145  

 

After winning seven games last season, the books do not seem confident that the Browns can mach that win-total this year with their total wins listed at only 6½ with the ‘under’ heavily juiced. That is really no surprise though considering that the Browns probably overachieved last season given how poor both the offense and the run defense were.

 

Cleveland Browns Key Additions
The Browns added four veteran probable starters on offense in quarterback Josh McCown, wide receivers Dwayne Bowe and Brian Hartline and tight end Rob Housler. But what does it say about their confidence on Johnny Manziel just one year after drafting him that they went out and signed McCown to a multi-million dollar contract? Cleveland also drafted a stud running back in Duke Johnson that should be starting sooner rather than later.

Cleveland Browns Key Losses
The Browns were not good offensively last year, so will they really feel the losses of quarterback Brian Hoyer, wide receiver Miles Austin and tight end Jordan Cameron all that much? One bigger loss was in the defensive secondary in cornerback Buster Skrine.