NFL Picks: Cincinnati Bengals Team Profile 2015

LT Profits Sports Group

Tuesday, July 28, 2015 5:01 PM GMT

Tuesday, Jul. 28, 2015 5:01 PM GMT

Each day until the start of the 2015 NFL season, LT Profits will provide a team profile that can be referred to when making NFL picks. Today they look at the Cincinnati Bengals.

 


The 2015 NFL season is set to begin Thursday night, September 10th, and in an attempt to assist you with your NFL picks, we are presenting daily team profiles well in advance of that Kickoff Weekend. Today we are profiling the Cincinnati Bengals, who finished 10-5-1 in 2014 and in second place in the AFC North before losing to the Indianapolis Colts in the Wild Card Playoffs.

Foe starters, here is a summary of the Cincinnati betting statistics over the past five seasons. Note that these stats are for regular season games only.

 

Cincinnati Bengals Betting Stats, 2010 through 2014

   Home  Away  Overall
ATS Overall  22-16-2    20-17-3    42-33-5  
ATS Favorite  12-11-2  7-8-1  19-19-3
ATS Underdog    9-5  12-9-2  21-14-2
Avg. Margin  +4.5  -0.4  +2.1
Over – Under  23-16  17-22-1  40-38-1
Avg. Total Score    46.7  41.8  44.3

 

The Bengals may not be the first team you think of as solid bets, but they have hit at a 56.0 percent ATS clip overall the last five years including cashing 60.0 percent of the time as underdogs! Also take note of their much higher scoring games at home, with the ‘over’ going 59.0 percent in Cincinnati and the ‘under’ cashing at a 56.4 percent rate on the road.
Key Trend: The ‘under’ is 13-4-1, 76.5 percent in Cincinnati road conference games when coming off of an ‘over’.

Now let us take a look at the Bengals’ statistical summary for the 2014 season.

 

2014 Cincinnati Bengals Team Statistics (Per Game)

   Offense    Off. Rank   Defense    Def. Rank 
Points  22.1  16th  21.8  13th
Rushing  132.8  6th  116.0  20th
Yds. Per Rush    4.4  9th  4.2  19th
Passing  209.7  23rd  250.4  23rd
Yds Per Pass  6.6  19th  6.5  12th
Total Yards  342.5  18th  366.4  23rd
Yds. Per Play  5.5  18th  5.6  14th

 

The Bengals have been consistent in recent years, both in a good way and in a bad way. The good is that Cincinnati made the playoffs for the fourth straight year this past 2014 season. Unfortunately, the bad news is that they have now lost their last seven playoff games, which is the third longest playoff losing streak in NFL history.

Next, we take a peek at various Cincinnati Future Odds for this 2015 season from several sportsbooks. You can view these and other future and prop odds on the Sportsbook Review Futures and Prop Bets Directory.

 

2015 Cincinnati Bengals NFL Futures

   5 Dimes  Bookmaker    Bovada  Heritage
Super Bowl Odds    +3500  +4008  +3300  +3400
AFC Conf. Odds  +1500  +1663  +1600  +1400
AFC North Odds  +255  +222  +220  +250
Win Total  8½ ov-130    8½ ov-130  8½ ov-130    8½ ov-130  

 

It seems that the top sportsbooks are all unanimous in expecting about nine wins from the Bengals this season with the ‘over’ 8½ win-total listed at -130 odds across the board, and nine wins would actually be one less than last season. Can this be turning into another version of Groundhog Day, with the Bengals again sneaking into the playoffs only to get immediately knocked out in the first round again?

 

Cincinnati Bengals Key Additions
The Bengals did not add much veteran help to the offense, although wide receiver Denarius Moore adds nice depth and could actually emerge on a mediocre receiving corps after A.J. Green. The defense added a couple of nice veterans in defensive end Michael Johnson and linebacker A.J. Hawk to a unit that put no pressure on opposing quarterbacks last season after excelling in that area with a healthy Geno Atkins in previous years.

Cincinnati may have also added a couple of immediate starters via the draft, tabbing offensive tackle Cedric Ogbuehi in the first round and linebacker Paul Dawson in the third.

Cincinnati Bengals Key Losses
The Bengals lost tight end Jermaine Gresham on offense, although they still have good depth at that position with their two Tylers, Tyler Eifert and rookie Tyler Kroft. The defensive secondary lost cornerback Terence Newman and safety Taylor Mays, but Mays was a reserve anyway and Newman was declining with age and was only a part-time player by season’s end last year.

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