NFL Picks: Chiefs vs. Steelers in Preseason Week 3

Jordan Sharp

Tuesday, August 20, 2013 4:16 PM GMT

Week 3 of the NFL preseason is arguably the most important game that will never count. Teams normally use this as a dress rehearsal for the regular season, and the Chiefs/Steelers should follow this pattern.

The NFL odds for this matchup favor the Steelers at -2.5, with a total of 40 points. The Steelers will be on a short week after playing on Monday Night Football, so will that affect your sports picks in this game? Let’s take a look and see what kind of value we can uncover in this exhibition matchup.

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Week 2

Pittsburgh did not look good against the Redskins this past Monday, and now on short rest, they come into play the Chiefs. The Steelers’ new offensive line looked out of sync and not very good, as Ben Roethlisberger was officially sacked once, but was hit and hurried more times than that while he was in the game.

On top of the line not playing well, the Steelers went from insult to injury when rookie running back LeVeon Bell got hurt and did not return to the game. It was his first preseason action so far this season after suffering an injury already in camp, and it remains to be seen whether or not the Steelers will put him out there in this game.

The Chiefs also lost in Week 2, however their game was much closer. The Chiefs lost 15-13 to the 49ers in Week 2, and although they were without their best offensive player in Jamaal Charles, they still put up a nice fight against the Niners. Alex Smith was somewhat shaky, but I think that it to be expected while learning a brand new system. I also think we will see similar play in this game.

Battle of the bad

These two teams are still dealing with some major issues going into Week 3. The Steelers can’t protect Roethlisberger, and the Chiefs will likely still be without Charles. Neither team has a very balanced offense, but what they both have are above average defenses.

The Steelers’ first-string defense played a majority of the first quarter and did not give up a score in the first quarter (the only score came from a pick six). The Chiefs not only held down the Niners quite well for the start of the game, but the entire contest. The Chiefs only giving up 15 points to the Niners is something to be excited about.

With both offenses in disarray, and their defenses looking strong, I think a play on the ‘Under’ might be the way to go.

[gameodds]16/227809/?r3=192-43-349-999997-118-19-9238-227/us&r-1=192-43-349/us[/gameodds]

The Sharp Pick

Mike Tomlin has cashed the ‘Under’ twice so far this preseason, taking his career preseason record to 16-10-1 cashing below the total. I see the same type of outcome in this game. 40 points is just a little too high for these two teams. I see both of their offenses disrupted by the other’s defenses in this game. With the first string defenses getting a longer run in this game as well, I see a lower scoring affair in Pittsburgh this weekend, so take the ‘Under’ and add it to your NFL picks this weekend.

NFL Pick: Bet the Chiefs/Steelers to go UNDER 40 points, at Ladbrokes

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