NFL Picks: Chiefs to Gain 6th Straight Win at Raiders' Expense

Steven Suarez

Monday, November 17, 2014 6:15 PM GMT

Monday, Nov. 17, 2014 6:15 PM GMT

Still searching for their first win of the season, the Raiders now welcome a red-hot Chiefs team to Oakland in Week 12. Who are we favoring after analyzing the early NFL betting odds?

Odds Overview
The NFL odds are growing and growing, as the public seems to be liking the Chiefs a lot early on. Right now, the road team is favored by a full touchdown on the road.

As of now, the O/U is at 43 points, and we don't see much value on either the OVER or UNDER. Whereas the Chiefs have been great defensively, especially lately, the Raiders have been far from it.

 

Oakland Raiders
We're entering Week 12 and the Raiders have still yet to win a single game this season. That's right, they're at 0-10 heading into Thursday Night Football against the surging Chiefs.

This past weekend, Oakland gave San Diego a good fight, only to lose 13-6 on the road.

The Raiders defense did well to hold Philip Rivers and company in check, but they couldn't get into any kind of groove when they had possession of the ball. Oakland totaled just 233 total yards of offense and only earned nine first downs in the entire game.

All of the Raiders' points came on field goals, as Derek Carr couldn't lead the team into the end zone. He was 16-of-34 for 172 yards and ended up with a forgettable QBR of 22.0. The run game was stuffed as well, with Darren McFadden and company only going for 71 total yards on 19 carries. No Oakland receiver topped 50 yards either.

The overall stats don't paint a pretty picture, as to be expected. The Raiders are dead last in rushing (63.0 yards per game) and haven't been much better in the passing game, averaging 213.4 yards per game (25th in the NFL). Defensively they've been decent against the pass, but Oakland has been a mess against the run (129.8 yards allowed per game), which is a scary thought with Jamaal Charles coming to town in Week 12.

 

Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs continue to roll, as they've won five consecutive games to push their record to 7-3 for the season. They're tied with the Broncos for first place in the AFC West.

In Week 11, Kansas City went back and forth with Seattle at home, but eventually emerged as the victor with a 24-20 win.

The Chiefs couldn't crack 300 total yards of offense, but they dominated with the run game and that set the tone for the victory. In all, Kansas City had 30 carries for 190 yards and three touchdown runs.

Jamaal Charles was at the heart of it all, running for 159 yards and two scores while adding two catches for 19 yards. With the run game clicking, QB Alex Smith didn't have to do all that much - he attempted only 16 passes and finished with 108 passing yards. It was clear what Kansas City's gameplan was, and they didn't shy away from what was working.

When looking at the statistics, there are two phases in which the Chiefs have been simply dominant. They've been the league best's team against the pass and are ranked fourth in rushing, thanks to that Charles/Davis combo. 

 

NFL Pick
As tempting as it may be to take the points and put our faith in the Raiders to finally get a win, we can't go that route.

This matchup doesn't bode well for Oakland. They've been extremely poor offensively and have struggled against the run throughout the season, and that plays right into Kansas City's strengths. It's hard not to envision Jamaal Charles running wild all over this defense come Thursday night.

With the way the Chiefs are playing, we're going to ride the wave and back them to grab a sixth straight win. They should be able to shut down Oakland and control the game with a heavy dose of Charles and Knile Davis. Back Kansas City as the NFL pick on the road.

Free NFL Pick: Chiefs -7 at BetOnline

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