NFL Picks: Chiefs +170 Provide Big Betting Value vs Vikings Week 6

Joe Gavazzi

Friday, October 16, 2015 3:10 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 16, 2015 3:10 PM UTC

Our contratian NFL picks are 5-0 this season and we've got another winner for you in week 6.  We highligh the Chiefs as FG road dogs in Minnesota and their huge value on the NFL odds board. 

Kansas City Chiefs at Minnesota Vikings (-3) 1:00 ET
Kansas City Chiefs travel to play the Minnesota Vikings for this 1:00 ET kick in this NFL non-conference game.  I invite you to join me for my NFL pick on the Kansas City Chiefs as the very contrary pick of week 6.  At this underdog price, the NFL odds will be in your favor as my weekly contrarian picks to go to 6-0 ATS for the season.

Minnesota 2nd year HC Zimmer and his Vikings have become everybody’s new best friend.  Why not?  These Vikings are doing it the old fashioned way with a ground game averaging 137/4.9 overland and a defense allowing just 18 PPG.  Vikings enter today’s game on an 11-3 ATS run, including 3-1 ATS this season.  In addition, they are recently 15-4 ATS in non-division contests.  RB Peterson has returned, is in good health and is leading the way.  Surely, they will have no problems playing off a hard-fought loss at Denver and with an extra week to prepare for an ailing, inept KC team.

Chiefs went 9-7 SU last year, but missed the playoffs because of another sleepwalking December.  It was pretty clear they wanted to make amends early on, when they dominated opposition in August.  That carried over to a Week 1 win (27-20) vs. Houston.  The next 3 weeks, they fell to Denver, Green Bay and Cincinnati, who are only 15-0 SU!  The rebound seemed imminent last week, when as 9 point chalk, they led the Chicago Bears (17-3) at the half.  But a 2nd half meltdown included the loss of RB Charles (knee) and resulted in a total meltdown at home in an (18-17) loss.  Under veteran NFL mentor, HC Reid, you, me and the LONE RANGER are the only ones who expect the Chiefs to regroup.  Should they do so, credit will surely be given to the motivational abilities of Reid, who is 76-48 ATS when installed as underdog in NFL play.

As well as the Vikings appear to have played, a closer inspection tells us that they are actually being outgained 358-302 this season, while gaining just 5.3 YP play and allowing 5.7 YP play.  Perhaps, Minnesota backers are celebrating a bit too soon?   It’s the perfect spot to back contrary underdog, KC, for the outright victory.   

NFL Pick: Kansas City ML +170 at The Greek

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