NFL Picks: Chicago Bears Win Totals & Game-by-Game Predictions

Nikki Adams

Friday, June 19, 2015 12:13 AM UTC

Friday, Jun. 19, 2015 12:13 AM UTC

Can John Fox lead the Bears to finish .500 or better? Oddsmakers chalk the line at 7, suggesting such lofty expectations are a stretch in his first term as head coach. Here's our game-by-game preview complete with NFL picks.

Can Bears Crack the 7 Season Win Total Mark
As much as everybody loves John Fox, nobody is holding out much hope for his first term as the Chicago Bears head coach. Not only has the team underachieved over the last two seasons, but Jay Cutler has been singularly disappointing and doesn't appear to have the makings of a leader on or off the field. Growing pains look to be ahead for this franchise, even under the highly respected guidance of John Fox.

For those reasons predicting a season that would crack the modest 7 mark rolled out on the NFL odds board is a stretch. There's also a small matter about having a brutal NFL schedule, one that sees the NFC North face off against the NFC West and includes a crossover with the AFC West, John Fox's old stomping ground

Last year, they had the 15th ranked NFL schedule with a 0.496 winning percentage but only managed to deposit a 5-11 season. 

How many wins can they clinch with the 13th toughest NFL schedule that boasts a 0.531 winning percentage remains to be seen. For our part, we're going to keep are estimations conservative. Just as we did last year when we predicted the Bears would take a nosedive and go well below the 8.5 projected season win total. In fact, in our game-by-game predictions we served up a 5-11 mark, right on the money

Here goes...


Week 1: vs. Green Bay (home), Sunday, Sept 13 at 1 PM
A date with NFC North champions and one of the Super Bowl betting favorites in week 1 NFL betting can hardly be called easing into the NFL season. It's an ice-bucket challenge. John Fox and the Bears are in for a potentially rude awakening. Or more of the same really. Cutler is only 1-11 against the Green Bay Packers in his career.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 0-1


Week 2: vs. Arizona (home), Sunday, Sept 20 at 1 PM
Coach of the year Bruce Arians and the Arizona Cardinals descend on the Chicago Bears in week 2 NFL betting. John Fox is as good a coach as Arians, obviously. But Arians' side is a well-oiled machine, which he's fine-tuned over the last few seasons. It's going to be a tough ask for the rebuilding Bears to win a game against last season's playoff contender this early in the season. Had this been later in the season, maybe they'd have had a shot. As it is, it's a long shot NFL pick.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 0-2


Week 3: vs. Seattle (road), Sunday, Sept 27 at 4:25 PM
Russell Wilson and the Legion of Doom vs. Jay Cutler?  At CenturyLink Field? Need one say more?

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 0-3


Week 4: vs. Oakland (home), Sunday, Oct 4 at 1 PM
The Oakland Raiders are perennial underachievers in the NFL, going without a winning season since 2002. There's quiet optimism about the Raiders this season, but not enough to suggest a complete turnaround form 3-13 last season to a .500 finish or better. The Bears should take this one, especially with home advantage.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 1-3

Week 5: vs. Kansas City (road), Sunday, Oct 11 at 1 PM
A trip to Arrowhead is never an easy one. Tom Brady knows only too well as he suffered his worst game of last season in Kansas City. A rebuilding Bears will find it similarly difficult we think, if not an experience they'd rather quickly forget. John Fox may know the Kansas City Chiefs well having played against them often during his stretch with the Denver Broncos. But Jay Cutler is no Peyton Manning.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 1-4


Week 6: vs. Detroit (road), Sunday, Oct 18 at 1 PM
Last season, the Detroit Lions swept the series over the Bears with a 34-17 win in Detroit and a 20-14 win at Soldier Field. In fact the Lions have reeled off four wins in a row over the Bears and won three of the last four meetings in Detroit. This is going to be a tough game for the Bears to wrestle from the Lions on the road.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 1-5


Week 7: BYE


Week 8: vs. Minnesota (home), Sunday, Nov 1 at 1 PM
Last season, the Bears split the series with the Vikings winning 21-13 at home before losing 13-9 in the last week of the regular season on the road.  The Minnesota Vikings are a team on the rise and Teddy Bridgewater is a quarterback that has a lot of promise. This game is going to be closer than most NFL bettors might expect we think. The Bears should win, but the Vikings could surprise.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 2-5


Week 9: vs. San Diego (road), Monday, Nov 9 at 8:30 PM
Love or hate Philip Rivers, he can usually be counted on to beat lesser opponents. In a matchup against Jay Cutler, he certainly has the edge. Add to that the home field advantage the Chargers will enjoy in this game. The Monday Night Football aspect too and it would be a stretch to predict a Chicago win.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 2-6


Week 10: vs. St .Louis (road), Sunday, Nov 15 at 1 PM
St. Louis Rams figure to be a competitive team this season with Nick Foles calling the shots. The Eagles castoff is coming off an injury that cut short his 2014 season, but avid NFL bettors will recall his coming of age 2013 season, in which he stunned the world over by putting up staggering numbers in 13 games, including 27 touchdowns. If Foles can have a turnout as he did in 2013 with the Rams, then this is going to be a tough road game for the rebuilding Bears.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 2-7


Week 11: vs. Denver (home), Sunday, Nov 22 at 1 PM
John Fox and Peyton Manning affably hug on the sidelines and share random pleasantries. Then Manning and the Denver Broncos unapologetically crush the Bears at Soldier Field. Take two: more hugs and kisses between coach and quarterback at the conclusion of the massacre. Cue commercials. Sound about right?

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 2-8


Week 12: vs. Green Bay (road), Thursday, Nov 26 at 8:30 PM
Last year, Green Bay Packers decimated the Bears at Lambeau in a 55-14 defeat. Fortunately, football is only a 60 minute game. Imagine if it were a 90-minute affair like soccer is. The devastation and humiliation would have been catastrophic as Aaron Rodgers showed no mercy en route to victory. He went 18-of-27 for 315 yards and 6 touchdowns. This game is taking place on Thanksgiving and will be preceded by a ceremony for Brett Favre. It's going to be an emotional day for Packers nation, which is likely to be capped off by a home win.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 2-9


Week 13: vs. San Francisco (home), Sunday, Dec 6 at 1 PM
Last season, the Bears stunned the Niners 28-20 at Levi Stadium. It marked the beginning of the end for Jim Harbaugh and the Niners in 2014. This season the Bears get the Niners at Soldier Field in December. The Niners have undergone so many changes that it's hard to tell where they'll end up next season in the NFC race. As far as this game goes, it looks to be a winnable one for John Fox and the Bears.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 3-9


Week 14: vs. Washington (home), Sunday, Dec 13 at 1 PM
The Washington Redskins are a mess, in no uncertain terms. Patience runs thin where RGIII is concerned, never mind the negative energy he exudes right now. Jay Cutler (if he's playing) looks like an elite quarterback next to RGIII.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 4-9


Week 15: vs. Minnesota (road), Sunday, Dec 20 at 1 PM
Last season, Teddy Bridgewater and the Vikings beat the Bears in what was a meaningless game for both teams in week 17 NFL betting. What are the takeaways from that? Hard to say. On paper, this is a game that the Bears could win, but we're giving it to the hosts.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 4-10


Week 16: vs. Tampa Bay (road), Sunday, Dec 27 at 1 PM
The Buccaneers are after an abysmal 2-14 season and they don't figure to be a whole lot better in 2015. Whether Jameis Winston is the starter by this point of the season makes no difference. This is a game the Bears should win.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 5-10


Week 17: vs. Detroit (home), Sunday, Jan 3 at 1 PM
The Bears close the season against divisional rivals Detroit Lions in week 17 NFL betting. The Lions could be in the race for a playoff berth at this point while the Bears are more likely to be dusting off their golf clubs. Detroit wins a pivotal game towards their 2015 playoff bid. John Fox and Company go back to the drawing board.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 5-11


NFL Betting Verdict: It may surprise some NFL bettors that we're predicting a repeat of the 5-11 SU record, all while the Bears are being managed by a respectable head coach. John Fox is great and all, but he can only do so much. We're just not comfortable predicting a turnaround in their fortunes when they are essentially relying on the same shot caller responsible for their lacklustre accounts over the last couple of seasons. So our recommended NFL pick is to take the UNDER 7 at -150 at Bovada. Clearly, by the NFL odds that is the expected outcome.

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