NFL Picks: Chicago Bears Season Wins Total

Jordan Sharp

Friday, June 21, 2013 3:43 PM GMT

Friday, Jun. 21, 2013 3:43 PM GMT

The Chicago Bears are coming off of a 10-6 SU regular season a year ago, but with new head coach Marc Trestman, and some turnover on defense, will the Bears be able to once again reach ten wins?

Sportsbooks with the best prices on 2013-14 NFL Futures

LVH Sportsbook in Las Vegas has the Bears handicapped to 8.5 wins in the NFL odds, with the ‘Over’ priced at -120, and the ‘Under’ sitting at +100. Will this finally be the season that Jay Cutler and the Bears take over this division with all of their talent? Or will they once again underachieve just enough to miss the playoffs?

Looking for more NFC North team season wins info? Read our division breakdown!

Schedule

Unlike some of the other teams in this division, the Bears’ strength of schedule isn’t that bad. They are ranked 16th in the NFL in that department, but that doesn’t tell the whole story. Obviously this division is one of the toughest divisions in football, and some of the “bad” teams the Bears have to play are going to be much improved from their 2012 winning percentage. 

Lucky for the Bears, they get most of their tough home games out of the way early. They play Cincinnati and Minnesota in Chicago to open the season, and then a few weeks later they welcome in New Orleans and the Giants of New York.

With the exception of playing the Packers twice after their bye week, their schedule eases up a lot in the second half. Their toughest game outside of the two Green Bay games will probably be the defending champs come into Chicago in Week 11. If the Bears can weather the early storm and go at least 3-4 SU, I think they have a chance at making it over the total here. However, with a new coach and offense, the early games against tough teams will not make things easy to stay around .500. I’m also not feeling too good about the Bears going north of 8.5 wins, just because that is the side with the chalk this offseason, and the Bears aren’t going to be as good as they were a season ago.

How do "da Bears'" odds rank against the rest of the NFC North this season?

Week 1

Cincinnati is going to be a hell of a test to open the season for Chicago, and the NFL odds reflect that. Chicago is a -3 favorite in this game as it stands this summer, with a total of 45. I am leaning towards a couple of NFL picks this offseason on this game, and unfortunately for my Bears, neither of them are favorable towards them.

This should be a defensive game however, as both offenses have their issues, and both defenses will likely be some of the best in the NFL. 45 seems like a bit too much for these two teams. With rust on offense for Chicago, and inconsistency and youth on offense for Cincinnati, I see this as a lower scoring game.

The Sharp Pick

I could see the Bears going 9-7 SU this season, but that would mean they have to at least start the season at 3-4 SU, and then win at least three road games and almost all of their home games after their bye. I can’t see it this season for Chicago. The even money on the under seems to be the sports picks with the most value, and I’m taking it, as much as it pains me to do so. Chicago will have a very up and down season under new management.

My Pick: ‘Under’ 8.5 +100 at BET 365

Week 1 Lean: ‘Under’ 45

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