NFL Picks: Chargers vs Redskins

Doug Upstone

Wednesday, October 30, 2013 6:39 PM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 30, 2013 6:39 PM UTC

The Washington Redskins play host to the San Deigo Chargers at the FedEx Field this Sunday. Find out where our handicappers decided to place their money!

At last look, the betting odds were a ‘pick’; suggesting finding a real edge could be a challenge for NFL football handicappers. Let’s dig in further and see if we can find a reason to make this one of our NFL picks.

San Diego Rested and Refocused

The Chargers return to work off they bye week with a 4-3 SU and 5-1-1 ATS record. The only bad game San Diego played was at Oakland, where they committed five turnovers; they gave away leads to Houston and Tennessee, being in position to win both those contests.

San Diego understands they could be a playoff team and the next five weeks will be a telling story, with two trips into the Eastern Time Zone (they have already been to Philadelphia and Jacksonville) and three games against arguably the top three teams in the AFC (Denver, @K.C. and Cincinnati).

Coach Mike McCoy understands he has number of young players and it is imperative he and the veteran players like Philip Rivers stress the importance and prepare even more so than they did in the first half.

This will be the Chargers third 10:00 am PT start already this season and they won and covered both, beating the NFL odds.

Washington Trying to Regroup, Again

You never feel at ease with a lead against a team with Peyton Manning. But how Washington was thoroughly blitzed 38-0 in the game’s final 26:25, well, that is mind-boggling.

While the defense certainly contributed to the collapse, the Redskins offense shares in the blame. They only gained 266 total yards, of which just 154 were passing against one of the weakest pass defenses in the NFL.

At 2-5, the good news for Washington is how terrible their division is, allowing them to stay in the race. With two potentially winnable road contests, the Redskins could string together a trio of victories if they do what is necessary at home.

NFL Betting Odds and Matchup Numbers

Most sportsbooks sent this non-conference clash out as an 'NFL pick' and for the most part, it has hovered in that neighborhood. Including this season, San Diego has an impressive 10-2 ATS road record against NFC East over the years.

The original starting total of 50 has been bumped up to 51. With this high a total and given the spread, the two clubs are a combined 18-2 OVER since last year when they score and allow 20 or more points.

San Diego wins and covers by…

Continuing to play in coach McCoy’s system. Rivers is playing at ease in the faster tempo no-huddle offense and he’s doing a much better job not holding the ball too long. The offensive line has and will have to continue to pass block well and Antonio Gates has stayed healthy and appears to like being featured more in underneath routes. The Chargers could pick apart the Redskins.

The Bolts defensive line is improving and has to contain the Washington running game and hope to create pressure on RG3 since the secondary is below average.

Washington wins and covers by…

Playing with more consistency on both sides of the ball. Robert Griffin III was off-target all day at Denver, after being brilliant against Chicago the week prior. It did not help the offensive line had their worst outing of the season in terms of pass protection. All indications are the points will be flowing and the Redskins offense has to be up to the challenge if they expect to win.

Despite the 45 points surrendered, the Washington was better than they have looked all year for the first 35 minutes in Denver. If they can match that intensity and make Rivers jumpy in the pocket, the Skins should create more turnovers.


Final Outcome

With one of my sports picks, I’ll use it on the rested team, in a much better frame of mind, with a good history against the NFC.

NFL Football: San Diego Pick

comment here