NFL Odds favor the Bears here at -4, with a total of 37 ½ points.
The Bears left out most of their important skill players in Week 1 against the Panthers, but I expect the likes of Matt Forte and Brandon Marshall to see at least one or two series in this game. Even though the Bears didn’t play their starters long, if at all in Week 1, Week 2’s normally bring about a longer run for most offenses and quarterbacks. Most coaches play their starters for a majority of the first half in either/both Weeks 2 or 3 of the preseason, but either way, I think Cutler at the very least will be in the game a lot longer. Cutler didn’t look great in Week 1, and I think we can expect him to get a longer look this week to try and grasp the new offense.
The Chargers looked good for the first half of their game in Week 1, but then they gave up 24 points in the 2nd half for a total of 31 against the Seahawks last week. Phillip Rivers and the offense played a long first drive, which ended in a field goal, and then didn’t play the rest of the game after that. Rivers looked good, throwing 5/6 for 45 yards in the loan drive. Ryan Matthews even got in the game and did some work. I think it’s safe to say that we will see more of both team’s new offenses in Week 2 against one another, and with the points these two gave up in Week 1, I think a play on the total is where we need to go with this one.
Overs and Underdogs
Week 1 was marked by two distinct trends that I think will both carry on into Week 2. Firstly, underdogs were 10-6 ATS, making for several nice cashes for my NFL Picks in Week 1. Secondly, the ‘Over’ was 11-5 in Week 1 of the preseason. I mentioned last week in my article on the Bears vs. Panthers game that the ‘Over’ was very common in Weeks 1 and 2 of the preseason, and with a lower total like 37 ½, I think the NFL Odds are undervaluing both of these teams and their new coaching staffs.
We will likely see at least a quarter of Cutler and Rivers taking one another on, and it will be the perfect preseason battle of underperforming QBs! What better game to bet on a higher scoring affair?
The Sharp Pick
With the over being the bet of Week 1, I’m doubling down. Both of these teams cashed the over in Week 1, and with the beginning of the preseason traditionally a higher scoring couple of games, I see no reason why these two starters won’t get much longer runs in Week 2 against one another. Take the ‘Over’ and add it to your NFL Picks for Week 2 of the preseason.
My Pick: ‘Over’ 37 ½ at Bet 365