NFL Picks: Cash With Brady, Taylor & McCoy When Betting Monday Night Props

Matthew Jordan

Monday, November 23, 2015 3:58 PM UTC

Monday, Nov. 23, 2015 3:58 PM UTC

Patriots can all but clinch the AFC East on Monday night with a win over the Bills, a team the Pats have owned this century. Let's examine the NFL odds for some game props for Monday Night Football.

There's clearly no question that New England (9-0) is going to win the division again as it has a four-game lead over Buffalo and there are only six weeks left after this one. So the Patriots could clinch as early as next Sunday with a win here. New England also had to like seeing Cincinnati lose in Arizona on Sunday night as now the Patriots are up two games over the Bengals in the loss column for the potential No. 1 seed in the AFC. Those teams don't play each other in the regular season. New England is at Denver (8-2) this Sunday in a huge game. Should the Pats win over Buffalo they would join Carolina at 10-0. It would mark the fourth time in NFL history there have been multiple 10-0 teams in a season (1934, 1990, 2009). Entering this year, 15 teams started a season 10-0 during the Super Bowl era. Of those 15 clubs, all 15 made the playoffs, nine advanced to the Super Bowl and six of those teams won the Super Bowl. The Pats are +240 favorites on NFL odds to win the Super Bowl 50. The Bills (5-4) would really boost their wild-card chances with a win. They currently hold down the last wild-card spot but a loss drops them into a group with Kansas City, Houston and the New York Jets at 5-5. Buffalo plays each of those teams still on the schedule.


Tom Brady 'Over/Under' 26 Completions, 310.5 Passing Yards, 2.5 TDs, .5 INTs
Brady is your clear NFL MVP favorite now across the boards of the sportsbooks, with his top competition likely Carolina QB Cam Newton, who doesn't have near the same impressive numbers that Brady does (Arizona's Carson Palmer might be in the mix as well). Brady is completing 67.8 percent of his passes for 3,043 yards, 24 touchdowns and only three interceptions. That rating of 111.1 is first in the NFL. But this will be the first game this season where Brady won't have No.1 receiver Julian Edelman and excellent pass-catching running back Dion Lewis. Edelman broke his foot in last week's win over the Giants and is expected to miss the rest of the regular season. Lewis blew out his knee a couple of weeks ago and is done for 2015. The Bills know they have to get pressure on Brady to have a shot; the Giants were very successful in that regard last Sunday. But Buffalo has just 14 sacks. And in a Week 2 win over the Bills, Brady threw for 466 yards and three touchdowns. It's going to be quite chilly at kickoff, with temperatures in the high 20s. That could help keep Brady's numbers down.

Free NFL Picks: 'Under' all except picks. The loss of Edelman will be felt.


Tyrod Taylor O/U 20 Completions, 219.5 Passing Yards, 1.5 TDs, .5 INTs, 25.5 Rushing Yards
If Bills coach Rex Ryan had his way, Taylor would probably only throw the ball five times -- Ryan wants to run the ball down any opponent's throat. And especially New England to keep Brady and Co. off the field. New England's Chandler Jones, the NFL sacks leader entering Week 11, said what makes Taylor dangerous is that he’s adept at throwing and running. Taylor hasn't completed at least 20 passes since an Oct. 4 loss to the Giants. He has attempted at least 30 just twice this season. His season high in yards is 274, also in that Giants loss. He has only two games with multiple TD passes. One was that Week 2 40-32 loss to New England in which Taylor was 23-for-30 for 242 yards and three scores but also three picks. He has only one interception since then, but he did miss a couple of games. We are taking that into account for this NFL pick.

Free NFL Picks: 'Under' all except picks and rushing yards.


LeSean McCoy O/U 75.5 Rushing Yards
That trade of Kiko Alonso to Philadelphia this offseason for McCoy is starting to look really lopsided for Buffalo. McCoy has dealt with some nagging injuries but appears to be hitting his stride with back-to-back games of 112 yards rushing -- not coincidentally, both Buffalo wins. He rushed 15 times for 89 yards in the earlier loss to New England.

Free NFL Pick: 'Over.'

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