NFL Picks: Carolina Panthers Team Profile 2015

LT Profits Sports Group

Tuesday, August 25, 2015 6:19 PM GMT

The Carolina Panthers won the NFC South with a losing 7-8-1 record last year and even won a playoff game, but will the loss of Kelvin Benjamin prevent a repeat?  

 

The 2015 NFL regular season is set to kick off Thursday night, September 10th, but before we get to Kickoff Weekend, we will be here presenting daily team profiles in an attempt to assist you with your NFL picks. Today we are profiling the Carolina Panthers, who finished 7-8-1 in 2014 and in first place in the NFC South before winning their Wild Card Round playoff game vs. the Arizona Cardinals and then losing to the Seattle Seahawks in the Divisional Round.

 

To begin, here is a summary of the Carolina betting statistics over the past five seasons. Take note that all of these statistics are for regular season games only.

 

Carolina Panthers Betting Stats, 2010 through 2014

   Home  Away  Overall
ATS Overall  20-19-1    19-21  39-40-1  
ATS Favorite  12-9-1  4-6  16-15-1
ATS Underdog  8-10  15-15  23-35
Avg. Margin  -1.1  -2.7  -1.9
Over – Under  14-25-1  23-16-1    37-41-2
Avg. Total Score    40.3  46.7  43.5

 

There has not been much going on with the Panthers over the last five years in regards to their ATS splits, but what has been very interesting is how much lower scoring their home games have been compared to their road games. Carolina home games have averaged 40.3 points with the ‘under’ hitting 64.1 percent of the time, while the Panthers’ road games have averaged 46.7 points with the ‘over’ hitting at a 59.0 percent clip!
Key Trend: The ‘under’ is 16-6, 72.7 percent when Carolina is a home favorite.

Now let us take a look at the Panthers’ statistical summary for the 2014 season.

 

2014 Carolina Panthers Team Statistics (Per Game)

   Offense    Off. Rank   Defense    Def. Rank 
Points  21.3  19th   23.4  20th
Rushing  130.7  7th  106.6  11th
Yds. Per Rush    4.3  13th  4.4  25th
Passing  218.8  19th  219.1  5th
Yds Per Pass  6.4  23rd  6.4  10th
Total Yards  349.6  15th  325.7  6th
Yds. Per Play  5.4  24th  5.6  13th

 

The Panthers became the first team in NFL history to repeat as NFC South Champions since the league went to eight divisions, but they did it with a losing 7-8-1 record after finishing 12-4 in 2013. Still, they then went on to become the second sub-.500 team to ever win a playoff game with their 27-16 Wild Card Round triumph over the Arizona Cardinals.

Up next we peek at various Carolina Future Odds for this 2015 season from several sportsbooks. You can view these and other future and prop odds on the Sportsbook Review Futures and Prop Bets Directory.

 

2015 Carolina Panthers NFL Futures

   5 Dimes  Bookmaker    Bovada  Heritage
Super Bowl Odds    +4300  +4500  +4000   +4200
NFC Conf. Odds  +1800  +2274  +2200  +1700
NFC South Odds  +280  +200  +200  +220
Win Total  8½ un-120    8½ ov-113  8½ un-130    8½ un-120  

 

It must be pointed out that these are all the adjusted odds after the Panthers lost their go-to wide receiver for the season to a torn ACL sustained in practice. Carolina is now the third choice to win the NFC South with the Atlanta Falcons surpassing them and the New Orleans Saints being favored at most spots. The sportsbooks do still expect an 8-8 season based on the posted Carolina win total though.

 

Carolina Panthers Key Additions
Carolina did not really add many veteran impact players this year as their additions include the likes of running back Jordan Todman, wide receiver Jarrett Boykin, cornerback Charles Tillman and kick returner Ted Ginn, Jr. However, they did add a key piece in the NFL Draft in wide receiver Devin Funchess, who will now probably be thrust into the role of number one receiver with Benjamin going down.

Carolina Panthers Key Losses
Some key losses for the Panthers were running back DeAngelo Williams, defensive end Greg Hardy and safety Thomas DeCoud.