Carolina Panthers divisional future odds update
The Panthers come into the 2013 season as the biggest NFL odds underdog in the NFC South divisional future odds. At +550, do the Panthers have a sneaky amount of value?
Even though I think they're in for a much improved season straight up, seeing how tough their 16 game schedule is, it's hard to imagine the Panthers overcoming the Falcons, Saints, or Bucs to win the division. That being said, despite how bad they were last season to start, they ended up a moneymaking team ATS.
Last season the Panthers were 9-7 ATS, and they ended the season on a high note SU, as they won their last four games in a row, and five of their last six games SU. If the Panthers can build from their excellent finish a year ago, I see them having great value against the spread this season. The Panthers had very good value in certain spots a year ago.
For instance they were 6-2 ATS on the road, and 5-0 ATS as road underdogs a season ago. With their tough road schedule this season, which includes their annual trips to Atlanta and New Orleans, as well as trips to Miami and San Francisco, will the Panthers once again hold a lot of road value? I’m not quite sure
Carolina was not very good at home against the spread last year but they were good against their division. The Panthers were 4-2 ATS against the NFC South, and we could see similar value in 2012. The Panthers were also 6-3 ATS after a SU loss in 2012.
In my eyes the Panthers will once again be a pretty good bet against the spread against their division, but I think their value might come from being at home this season as opposed to on the road a year ago. Carolina's defense will be much improved from a year ago, and playing at home with a better defense will always help a young team. Also seeing how undervalued they are by LVH gives me hope that they will once again have a positive ATS season against their division.
After that it all falls on Cameron Newton. The young quarterback enters his third season in the NFL with a lot riding on his shoulders, and a whole lot left to prove. If Newton can show us those signs of brilliance that he showed at the end of last season and during his rookie campaign, this team is set to have one of their best seasons in a very long time.
I love some of the additions the Panthers made to their defense, as well as the additions they have made to their wide receiving corps. If the defense improves, we can expect nothing but a winning season both straight up and against the spread with Carolina in 2013 for our NFL picks.
All in all though, we have to lay off of them in the divisional future odds. 11 to 2 is pretty enticing for a Panthers team that should be undervalued and improved this season, but not enough in this very tough NFC South.