NFL Picks: Cardinals a Low Risk Play Week 3 vs. Raiders at PK Odds

Joe Gavazzi

Friday, August 28, 2015 1:00 PM GMT

Friday, Aug. 28, 2015 1:00 PM GMT

NFL odds are set to PK for Sunday Night's Football Game of the Week as the Cardinals visit the Raiders. Arizona has laid a 0-2 SU ATS egg so far, while the Raiders split their first 2 games in August.

Arizona Cardinals at Oakland Raiders (P) 8:00 ET NBC
The Arizona Cardinals visit the Oakland Raiders for an 8:00 ET kick.  It is your Sunday Night Football Game of the Week as televised by NBC.  After an 11-6 SU playoff season of last year, the Cards have laid a 0-2 SU ATS egg in August play.  The Raiders, who were 3-13 SU last season, have split their first 2 games in August.  Note that non-playoff teams (such as Oakland) vs. last year’s playoff teams (such as Arizona) are 11-6 SU ATS in NFL-Ex play this season, including 7-2 SU ATS in Week 2.  But, all that changes in the Rehearsal Reversal tonight in Oakland!  

 

Oakland's Preseason
In Week 1, Oakland hosted a St. Louis team, who has looked disinterested this August. The result was an 18-3 Oakland win.  But last week’s opponent, the Minnesota Vikings, came with a far different mindset. Remember the Vikings are a perfect 7-0 SU, 6-1 ATS in NFL-Ex play under 2nd year HC Zimmer.  The result was a 20-12 Minnesota win, despite the fact that Oakland outrushed Minnesota 120-87.  Only 2 out of 10 NFL teams beat the spread last week, if they were outrushed by 30 yards.  Now, Oakland returns home, where they will look to gain confidence under new HC Jack Del Rio, 1st year OC Musgrave and starting QB Carr, who is backed up by 2nd string QB Ponder with a less than dangerous arm.  This is an Oakland franchise, which needs a boost of confidence after going 11-37 SU in regular season play the last 3 years.  That, however, may not happen against an Arizona team who figures to be well focused for Game 3.

 

Arizona's August
In a turn of events from recent August play under 3rd year HC Arians, Arizona has dropped a pair of home field matchups to start August play.  In Week 1, the Cards fell 34-19 to a KC team, who entered the preseason on a 10-35 ATS run. Last week, also at home, Arizona dropped the 22-19 home field decision to San Diego.  That was in spite of the fact that they outrushed the Chargers 97-46.  They were 1 of only 2 of a total of 10 teams, who outrushed the opposition by 30 or more yards, yet did not get the cover.  That means Arizona has now lost their first 2 games by a combined 21 points and 23 points ATS.  With the strong QB tandem of Palmer and Stanton and full focus from an Arizona team who wishes to avoid the 0-3 collar, look for Arizona to get the victory tonight.  Remember that Game 3 winless road teams, when priced as the better team, have produced 83% pointspread winners in the last 30 years. This makes Arizona's week 3 NFL odds against Oakland a great play as a pickem. 

NFL Pick: Arizona Cardinals PK at YouWager

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