NFL Picks: Capper Suggests to Back the Cowboys -8 Over Lions

Joe Gavazzi

Friday, January 2, 2015 5:50 PM GMT

Friday, Jan. 2, 2015 5:50 PM GMT

The first week of the NFL 2015 playoffs winds up in Big D, where the weather figures to hover around 40 degrees with light winds.  The home field and the elements, clearly favor the Cowboys for this.  

Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys (-6-) 4:40 ET FOX
The first week of the NFL 2015 playoffs winds up in Big D, where the weather figures to hover around 40 degrees with light winds. The home field and the elements, clearly favor the Cowboys for this. Combined with positive momentum and a home/road dichotomy, they are a definitive play. That is true even though (DT) Suh is not suspended for his conduct of last week and is expected to be in the starting lineup. Keep ths in mind when looking over the NFL odds.   

Last week, Detroit was soundly beaten by Green Bay (30-20).  The Packers ran for 152 yards and amassed 377 total yards.  That’s a bad sign for a top rated Detroit defense when facing a Cowboy offense that is running on all cylinders.  Over the course of the season, however, this has been the No. 2 defense in the league, allowing just 18 PPG and 300 YPG, as well as 5.1 defensive YPP. Facing off against the strong Dallas running attack, the defense has allowed 69/3.2 overland, the best in the NFL. But, this team has made the playoffs only once (in 2011, a 45-28 loss at New Orleans).  They do not figure to fare well in this playoff road game. For, they have lost 16 straight road games to winning teams, including 3 this year (by 10 at Green Bay, 25 at New England and 8 at Arizona), all in the last 7 weeks. Now, they must play one of the hottest teams in the NFL. 

Click Here for Another Cappers Take on Cowboys vs. Lions

The Cowboys enter on a 4 game winning streak in which they have outscored the opposition (165-79), covering the number by a combined 77 points. The offense is hitting on all cylinders with Romo entering with stats in those games of 75% completions and a 12/1 ratio.  With offensive playmakers RB Murray and WR Bryant, they are a true offensive force.  This unit has scored 30 or more points in 6/7 recent games.  Their ground game, which averages 32/147/4.6 (the best of this week’s 8 playoff combatants), will go up against that staunch Detroit defensive front. 

On a great night for football, it will be the Dallas offense against the Detroit defense in a classic matchup.  Defining factors in this outcome will be the momentum of the Cowboys, as well as a home/road dichotomy that clearly favors the home standing Cowboys as an NFL pick.  In fact, Wild Card favorites, following huge offensive outbursts in their previous game, have covered the last 7 events winning by 21 PPG. 

NFL Pick: Take  Dallas Cowboys -8 at 5Dimes

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