NFL Picks: Buffalo Bills Team Profile 2015

LT Profits Sports Group

Tuesday, July 21, 2015 6:32 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jul. 21, 2015 6:32 PM UTC

Each day until the start of the 2015 NFL season, LT Profits will provide a team profile that can be referred to when making NFL picks. Today they look at the Buffalo Bills.


The 2015 NFL season kicks off on Thursday night, September 10th, and in an attempt to help you with your NFL picks, we are presenting daily team profiles in advance of the start of the season. Today we are profiling the Buffalo Bills, who finished 9-7 in 2014 and in second place in the AFC East.

For starters, he is a summary of the Buffalo betting statistics over the past five seasons. These stats are for regular season games only.


Buffalo Bills Betting Stats, 2010 through 2014

   Home  Away  Overall
ATS Overall  21-18-1    17-22-1    38-40-2  
ATS Favorite  10-10  2-2  12-12
ATS Underdog  10-7-1  15-20-1  25-27-2
Avg. Margin  +1.0  -8.2  -3.6
Over – Under  17-23  20-18-1  37-41-1
Avg. Total Score    44.4  47.0  45.6


As you can see, the Buffalo defense has played with greater intensity at home, resulting in allowing nearly three points less at Orchard Park than on the road and a 57.5 percent home success rate for the ‘under’ the past five years.
Key Trend: Buffalo is 7-19-1, 26.9 percent ATS on the road following a home game

Next let us take a look at the Bills’ statistical summary for the 2014 season.


2014 Buffalo Bills Team Statistics (Per Game)

   Offense    Off. Rank   Defense    Def. Rank 
Points  21.4  18th  18.1  4th
Rushing   92.6  25th  106.6  10th
Yds. Per Rush    3.7  26th  4.1  11th
Passing   225.9  18th  205.1  3rd
Yds Per Pass  6.2  27th  5.9  3rd
Total Yards  318.5  25th  311.7  4th
Yds. Per Play  5.2  29th  5.1  3rd


The Bills were offensively challenged last season with issues at the quarterback position, but one of the best defenses in the NFL carried Buffalo to its first winnings season since 2004. The Bills were even in the playoff race late in the year before being eliminated with an upset loss in Week 16 to the Oakland Raiders.

Now let is take a look at various Buffalo Future Odds for this 2015 season from various sportsbooks. You can view these and other future and prop odds on the Sportsbook Review Futures and Prop Bets Directory.


2015 Buffalo Bills NFL Futures

   5 Dimes  Bookmaker    Bovada  Heritage
Super Bowl Odds    +4000  +4005  +3300  +3900
AFC Conf. Odds  +1450  +1794  +1600  +1300
AFC East Odds +520 +470 +425 +500
Win Total  8½ ov-115     8½ ov-112    8½ ov-130    8½ ov-115  


The Bills are as strong as any team in the AFC East at every position expect the most important one, as the mediocre E.J. Manuel, Matt Cassell and Tyrod Taylor are all battling for the starting quarterback job. Still, it appears the books expect them to basically match their nine-win season of a year ago.


Buffalo Bills Key Additions
The biggest addition may be on the sideline in new head coach Rex Ryan, a defensive mastermind whose exotic schemes could take an already intimidating defense to new heights. As for new faces on the field, those would include the aforementioned quarterbacks Cassell and Taylor, running back LeSean McCoy, tight end Charles Clay and wide receiver Percy Harvin.

Buffalo Bills Key Losses
The Bills lost running back C.J, Spiller, but they will probably not feel his loss following the acquisition of McCoy. Also, Clay could even be an upgrade over departed tight end Scott Chandler. The most notable loss that the Bills may have a harder time fill is that of linebacker Kiko Alonso.

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