NFL Picks for Broncos vs. Texans Battle in Preseason Week 2

Joe Gavazzi

Thursday, August 20, 2015 3:04 PM UTC

Thursday, Aug. 20, 2015 3:04 PM UTC

Both teams are entering this matchup after recording previous victories during NFL preseason week 1. Find out where are we finding value with our NFL picks and join the winners circle.

Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans  8:00 ET
The Denver Broncos and the Houston Texans meet at 8:00 ET on Saturday night for the 2nd NFL-Ex game for each team.  Each of these teams recorded victories last week with Denver upsetting Seattle (22-20) and Houston emerging with a victory over re-tooling San Francisco (23-10).  Denver again takes to the road this week, while Houston remains at home.  

The Houston Texans authored quite a dominating performance in their Game 1 victory against a San Francisco team who has a new coach and the biggest roster turnover in the NFL.  It was not really surprising that Houston, a 9-7 team from last season, had a positive performance in Week 1.  They were one of 5 teams – along with Buffalo, KC, Philly and San Diego – who had a winning record last season but failed to make the playoffs.  As expected, these teams went 4-1 ATS in Week 1.  For Houston, backup QB Mallett completed 10 of 11 passes.  He is again expected to start this contest.  Combined with a ground game that held a 146-102 overland edge, Houston outgained San Fran 400-199.   Overland success may be more difficult to achieve this week, as Houston will continue to miss RB Foster (groin), who is unlikely to see much, if any, preseason action.

Playing a Seattle team who figured to be fully focused following their Super Bowl dump, the Broncos showed equal intensity for 1st year HC Kubiak.  Much like this week, QB Manning will get little work.  But, his backup, Osweiler, completed 15 of 20 passes.  Combined with a 113-89 yardage edge overland, the Broncos outgained the Seahawks 356-181.  Considering Kubiak’s preseason intentions – he is now 21-12 ATS as HC in NFL-Ex action - the victory came as little surprise.  Add to that record the fact that, as part of that log, Kubiak is 7-0 ATS vs. a foe off a double-digit win, and you have the makings of another intense effort from Denver. 

Each of these teams is projected to have a winning season this year with the Broncos again challenging for post-season supremacy in the AFC. Though the Broncos play consecutive weeks on the road, they have had 8 days of rest to make an adjustment.  Key factors in the opinion are the underrated defense of Denver that allowed just 81/3.6 overland last season and a total of 309 yards.  Along with the successful pointspread history of HC Kubiak, especially in this role, playing the Broncos as underdog appears to be the percentage side.

NFL Picks: Broncos +3 at The Greek

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