NFL Picks: Bovada Releases Early Betting Odds for Super Bowl 50

Kevin Stott

Wednesday, March 11, 2015 3:13 PM GMT

Bovada has released its Early game line, game moneyline and game total as part of their NFL Odds for Super Bowl 50, set to be played next February 7 at the brand new Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, outside of San Francisco. Are there any surprises her and any early bets that need to be made?

Introduction
Super Bowl 50, scheduled to be held at the new Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California—the new home of the NFL’s San Francisco 49ers—on February 7, 2016, is now less than 11 months away, and Bovada has released its early game Point Spread, Money Line and Totals for the big game, which will be the first Super Bowl held in the Bay Area in 30 years—since Super Bowl XIX (1985)—and will be called the “Golden Super Bowl” due to its site in the Golden State, and because 50th anniversaries are traditionally dubbed “Golden” ones. Super Bowl 50—the NFL has decided to scrap the Roman numerals for a year due to aesthetics and will return with Super Bowl LI in 2017— will be televised on CBS.

 

Early Super Bowl Line, Money Line
As has been the case of late, the NFC (National Football Conference) has been made relatively small, nearly FG favorites for Super Bowl 50 at Bovada, with an opening number of (NFC) -2½ being hung on the betting board. Despite the fact that the AFC’s New England Patriots won Super Bowl XLIX last month at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, defeating the NFC’s Seattle Seahawks on a goal-line interception on the game’s final drive, the oddsmakers are sticking with making the NFC favorites again this time heading into the 2015 NFL season. And with the Seahawks—who obtained TE Jimmy Graham (and a 4th Round Draft Pick) from the New Orleans Saints for C Max Unger and their First Round Pick—likely to be motivated by the memories of that near-miss (and non-rushing call to RB Marshawn Lynch by Head Coach Pete Carroll), while the team Seattle defeated in the NFC Championship game, the Green Bay Packers, will be fueled by the fire of their fold in the Emerald City and own near-miss. Memories fuel future fires, bobcat breath. And then you have the improved Dallas Cowboys, the Detroit Lions and maybe the San Francisco 49ers, Arizona Cardinals and Philadelphia Eagles. But with the Seahawks and Packers potentially meeting again in another classic NFC Championship game, this conference most definitely deserves to be the 2½-point favorite at Bovada.

The NFC has also been made -130 favorites on the Money Line NFL Odds for Super Bowl 50, and, this is where some value may lie in terms of having that straight up bet ahead of time, enabling some hedging, and maybe middling, should the AFC end up becoming favorites in this marketplace over the next 11 months. Should the Packers and/or defending NFC champion Seahawks disappoint, and, say the Patriots or Baltimore Ravens, Indianapolis Colts or another team from the AFC gets really hot and looks like an unbeatable unit, then the AFC could slowly become small favorites, although neither the AFC or NFC should get above +3 or -3 in this Early Line for Super Bowl 50. But one never knows. Parachute pants actually became A Thing, afterall.

 

Early Super Bowl Total
The Early Total for Super Bowls is historically right around 50 (points), and this year in no different with Bovada posting a 50½. Safe. And likely to generate considerably less betting action than a conference or Money Line bet in my mind. Fans and bettors become fans of specific teams for their NFL Picks and those teams dwell in conference and fans become slightly biased toward the conferences their own teams play in. It’s Nature’s Way. So, a Chicago Bears or St. Louis Rams fan would have a proclivity to pull for the NFC, while an Oakland Raiders or Houston Texans fan would probably lean AFC. The point? More bettors would be apt to put a bet in on a conference (AFC or NFC) right now because of that perceived bias whereas nobody gives A Rat’s Ass about an inanimate object like a number, or if it’s above or below 50, Bubba...unless we’re talking human Age. Then people care. One could maybe try to find an edge in the new stadium, but that seems like a massive stretch. Like deeming Iggy Azalea is a rapper, type stretch. So, that 50½ will hover around 50½ all year long while we all go about our daily business and bees continue to hook the Queen Bee up making honey.

 

Conclusion
Much will happen between now and next February, and much has already happened today. And with the NFL Draft coming up (April 30-May 2) and teams rebuilding and reloading with desperately needed new Quarterbacks, and talent like Marcus Mariota and Jameis Winston out there, and Free Agents signing in new places, like DT Ndamukong Suh (Dolphins), TE Julius Thomas (Jaguars), RB Shane Vereen (Giants), G Mike Iupati (Cardinals), WR Torrey Smith (49ers), TE Owen Daniels (Broncos), DT Haley Ngata (Ravens), LB Trent Cole (Colts), WR Brian Hartline (Browns) and CB Davon House (Jaguars), among others, the majority of the NFL’s 32 teams will probably look very different than they do now and did last season. And if you firmly believe that Tom Brady and the Patriots will get back to the Super Bowl, and win it again, or if you believe that the Seahawks with talented TE Jimmy Graham now, or the Packers with a re-signed WR Randall Cobb, can somehow get to The City By The Bay and bring that precious Lombardi Trophy home with them next February, then take a look and think about these early Super Bowl 50 lines and Total and keep in mind they may change and what happened in this rollercoaster marketplace last year.

EARLY SUPER BOWL 50 PICK: NFC -130 (Bovada)