NFL Picks Bills vs. Eagles: Trends Suggest Fading Philly Coming off Win

Jordan Sharp

Wednesday, December 9, 2015 12:24 PM GMT

The Eagles pulled off the upset of Week 13, now this week they come in as a home favorite -1 against the Bills, with a total of 47. Will Philly bring it again, or will Buffalo’s hot play continue?

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NFL Pick: Bills +1 
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Eagles Cast Off Patriots
Even with all the problems the Eagles have faced this season, this last one might have saved Chip Kelly’s job, and it might be the win that pole-vaults the Eagles into the playoffs. Someone in the NFC East is going to make the playoffs, and there is a possibility that they win it with only six wins, but the Eagles were most peoples picks early in the year to make the playoffs in this one, and even though the script on the they potentially get there is no where near what we expected, it could be the same result.

Sam Bradford had his first really good game for the Eagles, and he only threw the ball 24 times. However, he also lobbed two touchdowns and didn’t turn the ball over, which for Bradford this season was a big relief. The Patriots’ defense kept giving them chances in the game, but Bradford and the offense deserve a lot of credit for going toe to toe with Tom Brady. At the end of the game when Bradford need a first down to stop the Pats’ momentum after a successful score from an onside kick, Bradford fired a strike for a first down through a tight window that was a big time NFL throw.

If Bradford can continue to make plays this week, the Eagles have a nice chance to get a win. However, the Bills have been making plays as well. Tyrod Taylor has asserted himself as a viable long-term starter for the Bills this season, and over his last two games he has amassed over 600 passing yards and seven total touchdowns. While he hasn’t been very accurate, he has been very good from a yard per attempt standpoint, and that could hurt the Eagles’ defense this week. Sammy Watkins might be too talented and shifty for anyone on the Eagles to stop, and with an improving run game every week, I find it hard to believe that the Bills can lost this game, even on the road. Buffalo is 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games, and with Philly’s defense still giving up more than 25 points per game, with such palatable NFL odds I am taking the point with the home team.

 

The Sharp Pick
This will be the first time the Eagles are a home underdog this season believe it or not, and it will be the first time the Bills are road favorites. However, going back to 2013, the Eagles have lost their only game as a home dog since 2013, and I think they make it two on Sunday. The Bills’ pass rush should give the Eagles more problems than the Patriots did last week, and furthermore the Eagles are only 1-3 ATS this season after winning a game SU, so it’s not like Philly has a track record of getting another win after getting one the week before. Take the point with the Bills and add it to your NFL Picks this week.