Let’s take a look and see if the four NFL picks that I have chosen are similar to your leans.
Robert Woods (54.5 receiving yards)
The young rookie 2nd round pick has shown flashes this season, and he is developing an early report with EJ Manuel. Last week Woods had his coming out party so far this season, as he caught four balls for 80 yards and a touchdown. He played every single snap of the game against the Ravens, and he played almost all of them the week before, more than his partner, Stevie Johnson.
Even though this receiving yards total is high for his average yardage per game this season, there are several factors in this game that should lead to Woods going over the total. Joe Haden, the Prop Bowl cornerback for the Browns will likely be draped all over Stevie Johnson in this game, leaving Woods with single coverage on the outside and in the slot. This should give him plenty of opportunities to break coverage and rack up yardage. With the relationship already growing between him and Manuel, I think he can get 55 yards receiving or more tonight.
My Pick: ‘Over’ 54.5 (-120)
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3 Unanswered scores
So far, Thursday night games have yielded two cashes and one loss on the 3 unanswered scores prop, as the 49ers gave us our first loss in that prop a week ago. The Niners were able to score three unanswered times against the Rams, but I doubt either of these teams will be able to score three unanswered times against one another.
Neither QB has a ton of starting experience, and while both defenses aren’t great, they are both above average. With two offenses that are far from prolific, and defenses that are good enough to hold the other team, I see a back and forth game tonight. Normally these closer games will lend themselves to giving more value to this prop, and I am saying no once again.
My Pick: ‘No’ (+130)
CJ Spiller finally got in some light practicing this past week, but in fact it’s been Fred Jackson who has led the way in the Bills backfield. Jackson was ruled probable yesterday and because of Spiller being banged up, I like Jackson even more to score a TD tonight. He is already the Bills’ goal-line tail back, and there really isn’t any other competition around him to get a carry on the one-yard line; except one person, who we should hedge this bet with to add extra value. Either way, I’m taking F. Jax to score in this one.
My Pick: Fred Jackson (+137)
Another guy that could find his way into the end zone tonight is rookie QB, EJ Manuel. He is the only other guy that could leach a goal line carry away from Jackson in this game, and if Manuel finds his way into the end zone via a rushing play, it could net a fine cash at NFL odds of +450 for the victor.
Manuel is a big guy, and if there is a pass interference call that puts the ball on the 1-yard line, (or if they get there by moving the ball) Jackson or Manuel would be the only ones to get the goal line work. Manuel is 6’5 and 237 pounds, and he is plenty big enough to pull a Cam Newton and plow over linebackers and safeties on his way into the end zone for a QB keeper. If both of these guys score, it could turn this night into a sizzler night.
My Pick: E.J. Manuel (+450)
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