NFL Picks: Bills Have Absolute Edge Over Steelers in Preseason

David Lawrence

Thursday, August 27, 2015 12:33 PM UTC

Thursday, Aug. 27, 2015 12:33 PM UTC

Find out what the best NFL pick against the spread is as the Steelers & Bills meet each other in game three of the preseason for Buffalo, game four for Pittsburgh.

What We Know About The Coaches
Mike Tomlin of the Steelers is 21-15 in the preseason, 1-2 in this preseason, after his team beat Green Bay this past Sunday. Tomlin has had the added advantage of playing an early preseason game (a fifth game, essentially) in the Hall of Fame Game from Aug. 9. That enabled him to treat the second full week of the preseason – Pittsburgh’s third game – as a bigger deal. He can now treat this fourth game as less important, which offers him a little bit of a comfort zone.

Rex Ryan of the Bills has a 12-14 preseason record, 1-1 in this preseason, after beating the Cleveland Browns last week. Both of Ryan’s preseason games have been decided by one point (a 25-24 loss to Carolina and the 11-10 win over Cleveland). Tomlin is probably going to gently guide his players through this game, while Buffalo has more to prove. Give the Bills the edge here.

Edge: Bills

Compare NFL Odds for Colts vs. Bills Here

Quarterback Rotation
The Steelers are in a situation where they don’t need to see more from Ben Roethlisberger. He looks good to go, having completed 11 of 14 passes against Green Bay in a sharp performance. Bruce Gradkowski has been on the physically unable to perform list, so you shouldn’t see too much of him here. Third-string quarterback Landry Jones threw two late touchdown passes against Green Bay’s backups. He might get more work earlier in this game to test himself more.

The competition for the Bills’ starting quarterback spot is heating up. E.J. Manuel threw a touchdown pass and converted a two-point play late in Buffalo’s win over Cleveland. He is trying to rise above Matt Cassel and Tyrod Taylor for that starting spot. Cassel rested against Cleveland, so he should get a fair amount of playing time – at least three series or a quarter, whichever comes first – against Pittsburgh. The Bills have better depth and should be in better position to win a quarterback competition in a preseason game.

Edge: Bills


Team Depth & Rotations
The Steelers suffered a huge injury – Pro Bowl center Maurkice Pouncey got injured against Green Bay and will need surgery. He is out indefinitely, a nasty blow for an offense which needs to protect Roethlisberger. Defensive lineman Stephon Tuitt suffered an ankle injury against Green Bay.

The Bills are dangerously thin at wide receiver. Percy Harvin’s out, Robert Woods is out, and now Chris Hogan is as well after suffering an injury against Cleveland. The Bills are at least happy that cornerback Ronald Darby, a new draft selection, is playing well – he snagged two interceptions against the Browns. He is filling in well for the injured Leodis McKelvin, a starter who will miss the beginning of the regular season.

Both teams have injuries, but Pittsburgh losing a center is the most significant injury of all.

Edge: Bills


NFL Betting Outlook & Pick
The Steelers don’t need Roethlisberger to play much in this one, while the Bills need their quarterbacks to play well. The Steelers don’t have their best center, who is also their best offensive lineman. Place your NFL picks with confidence as the Bills should win this game.

NFL Pick: Bills +2.5 at SportsInteraction

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