NFL Picks: Betting Trends & Predictions for Week 3

Nikki Adams

Monday, September 21, 2015 6:54 PM GMT

We spot some of the guiding NFL betting trends that feature in week 3 NFL matchups, from SU, ATS and Over-Under betting stats that could prove deciding for your NFL picks.

Week 3 NFL Betting Preview
Before heading to your bookies to make your NFL picks, check out these NFL odds. Consider how much stock you should put in those carefully. In some cases – new coaches, new quarterbacks, major wholesale changes to teams or recent key injuries to hit teams – you just might want to throw them out of the window.

 

Redskins vs. Giants
Redskins are 1-1 SU and ATS on the season while the Giants are 0-2 SU and 1-1 ATS. In the last six games at home, the Giants are just 2-4 ATS. However, the Redskins are 1-5 SU against the Giants in their last six meetings, which includes a series sweep last season: 45-14 in Washington and 24-13 in NY. The total has gone UNDER of Washington’s last five games when playing NY Giants.

 

Falcons vs. Cowboys
The Falcons are 2-0 SU and ATS on the season under Dan Quinn. They are 4-1 SU in their last five road games, but they are just 1-5 SU in their last six games when playing the Cowboys in Dallas. Which of those contrasting trends hold true in week 3 NFL betting remains to be seen but with Tony Romo side lined the Falcons have a great shot to improve to 5-1 SU on the road, don’t you think?  That said Dallas are 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS on the season. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas’ last 6 games at home to Atlanta.

 

Bengals vs. Ravens
Cincinnati are a perfect 2-0 SU and ATS after two rounds, looking to cement their position at the top of a very competitive AFC North division. To do so, they must overcome a 1-4 SU record against the Ravens in Baltimore. That said they did sweep the series last season, winning 27-24 at home and 23-16 in Baltimore. And they are 7-3 SU in their last ten games overall. The Ravens are 0-2 SU and ATS this season, having lost to Denver and the Raiders (Yikes). They are 2-3-1 ATS in the last six games when playing Cincy at home too.

 

Colts vs. Titans
Titans take a 1-1 SU and ATS record into their divisional clash with the Colts, who remain 0-1 SU at the time of writing (they are still to play the Jets in MNF). Titans are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games and they haven’t beaten the Colts in seven straight meetings. Colts swept the series three seasons in a row with Andrew Luck calling the shots, all while outscoring them 166-to-104 combined. Over the course of these six meetings, the OVER-UNDER is split down the middle, 3-3.

 

Jaguars vs. Patriots
The Patriots are 2-0 SU and 1-0-1 ATS after two rounds, marking an impressive start to their title defense campaign. They are 9-1 SU against the Jaguars in the last ten meetings, which includes a run of six straight wins all while outscoring the Jaguars 168-to-79, for an average margin of victory of 14.83 (89-point differential divided by 6). Incidentally, that’s exactly the spread that is currently trading on the NFL odds board for this matchup, even though the last meeting was in 2012. Well before the arrival of Blake Bortles and the various changes made to the team over the last few seasons. Jaguars are 1-1 SU and ATS in 2015, improving to 4-17 SU and 7-12-2 ATS in their last 21 games.

 

Saints vs. Panthers
The Saints are underwhelming in 2015 and take a 0-2 SU record to Carolina for a pivotal divisional clash. Although the pair split the series last season, the Saints trail 2-4 SU in the last six games with the Panthers. What’s more, Carolina Panthers are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games and are riding a three-game winning streak at home going back to week 15 of the 2014 NFL season when they beat the Bucs 19-17, a week after beating the Saints 41-10 at the Superdome and reeling off four straight wins to close the season and clinch the NFC South title. The total has gone UNDER in five of Carolina’s last seven games.

 

Raiders vs. Browns
Both the Raiders and Browns are 1-1 SU and ATS ahead of week 3 NFL betting. Something is going to have to give when they collide in Cleveland. This is the first road game for the Raiders (0-5 SU in their last five outings) and second home game in a row for the Browns.  Browns went 4-4 SU last season and improve to 5-4 SU at home in their last nine games after beating the Titans in week 2 NFL betting. Raiders went without a road win last season. The Browns are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games with the Raiders

 

Eagles vs. Jets
Chip Kelly and the Eagles are 0-2 SU and ATS on the season, falling well short of preseason NFL betting expectations. The NY Jets, meanwhile, are just 1-0 SU with a MNF game against the Colts yet to decide where they fall in the league at the conclusion of week 2 NFL betting. Overall, the Eagles are 5-0 SU in the last five meetings with the Jets and the total has gone OVER in five of the last 6 meetings between this pair. Jets are just 2-6 SU in their last eight home games and 4-12-1 SU in their last 17 games (not including the clash with the Colts in MNF, obviously).

 

Steelers vs. Rams
Big Ben and the Steelers are 1-1 SU and 1-0-1 ATS on the season, after losing their opener with the Patriots and beating the Niners  convincingly in week 2 NFL betting. Overall, they are 5-2 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games. The Rams, meanwhile, are 1-1 SU and ATS this season, which includes an upset win over the Seahawks in week 1. They are coming off a lacklustre loss to the Redskins in week 2 that takes the shine off their NFL odds. Overall, they are 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five games.

 

Chargers vs. Vikings
The Vikings are 5-1 SU in their last five home games, which includes last week’s win over the Detroit Lions. In 2015, they are 1-1 SU and ATS and the total has gone UNDER in four of the last five games that the Vikings played home and away. The Chargers are 1-1 SU and ATS in 2015, but a shocking 8-10 ATS in the last 18 games. The total has gone OVER in the four of the last five meetings between this pair

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Bucs vs. Texans
The Bucs finished 2-14 SU last season, both wins coming on the road. They’ve since clinched a third road win since 2014 by beating the Saints and sending seismic shockwaves through NFL betting circles in week 2. The win marked Jameis Winston’s first career NFL win. The Bucs take a 1-1 SU and ATS record in 2015 to Houston. The Texans are a woeful 0-2 SU an ATS behind the efforts of both Brian Hoyer and Ryan Mallet at quarterback. The Texans are just 5-11 SU in their last 16 home games while the Bucs are 3-8 SU in their last 11 road games. Something is going to have to give when these two sides collide in week 3 NFL betting.

 

Niners vs. Cardinals
The Cardinals have been money for NFL bettors on their NFL picks since finishing a stellar 11-5 SU and ATS in 2014. Already, they are 2-0 SU and ATS in 2015, continuing to reward their backers handsomely at the NFL betting window. The Niners are 1-1 SU and ATS in 2015, improving to 9-9 SU and 7-10-1 ATS in their last 18 games. Historically, the Niners have dominated the head-to-head, emerging 8-2 SU in the last ten meetings. Last season, the pair split the meetings with each side winning at home. The Cards won 23-14 at home while the Niners won 20-17 at home – both games saw the UNDER cash.

 

Bills vs. Dolphins
The Bills are 1-1 SU and ATS in 2015, but both accounts have impressed many NFL bettors that they are sure to become the season’s vogue NFL pick in certain weeks. The Dolphins are 1-1 SU and ATS on the season, but both wins were hard fought and left much to be desired. Something is going to have to give when these two sides collide. Past trends in this AFC East rivalry tip the scale towards the Dolphins, who are 5-2 SU over the Bills in the last seven meetings in Miami. That said the Bills are 5-2 SU in the last seven overall meetings. Against the spread, the Dolphins are just 2-5 ATS in the last seven games at home to Buffalo. Last season, the pair split the series with each side winning at home. The Dolphins won 22-9 at home to easily cover the 4-point spread, while the Bills crushed the Dolphins 29-10 at home to also cover handily the 1.5point spread trading.

 

Bears vs. Seahawks
The O-2 SU and ATS Seahawks look to clinch their first W of the season when they host the O-2 SU and ATS Bears at CenturyLink. Seattle are 4-2 SU in their last six games over Chicago and 4-1 SU when playing the Bears at CenturyLink. The total has gone OVER in four of Seattle’s last five games. In terms of home advantage, the Seahawks boast a 22-3 SU record at home in their last 25 games.

 

Broncos vs. Lions
The Denver Broncos are 2-0 SU and ATS in 2015 and look to improve to a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS when they take on the struggling Lions (0-2 SU and ATS in 2015). Overall, the Broncos are 17-6 SU in their last 23 road games and 2-2 SU against the Lions in the last four meetings (the last of which was in 2011, so is probably a moot point). Broncos went 12-4 SU and 8-8 ATS last season, improving to 14-4 SU and 10-8 ATS in the regular season since the start of 2015.

 

Chiefs vs. Packers
Green Bay Packers are virtually infallible at home when Aaron Rodgers is calling the shots. They finished a perfect 8-0 SU in 2014 and improved that mark to 9-0 SU with a win over the Seattle Seahawks in week 2 NFL betting. The Packers (2-0 SU and ATS in 2015) welcome the Chiefs (1-1 SU and ATS in 2015) in Monday Night Football betting. It’s interesting to note the Packers haven’t beaten the Chiefs since 2007 when they won 33-22 on the road. That said they met only once since then and lost 19-14 on the road in 2011. This is the first time the Chiefs descend on Lambeau since 2003, when they won 40-34. Obviously, these last few NFL betting trends that pertain to this matchup must be thrown out of the window. The total has gone OVER in seven of the last ten home games for the Packers while the total has gone UNDER in five of the last seven road games for the Chiefs.