NFL Picks: Bet the Total in Raiders vs. Jets Season Opener

Steven Suarez

Monday, September 1, 2014 6:07 PM GMT

Who do you trust more? The Raiders or the Jets? If you don't like either option, you could always focus on a total play instead. Come check out our opening odds preview of New York's home game against Oakland in Week 1.

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The NFL betting lines have continued to move throughout the week. The public has been hitting the Jets hard, driving the line up to 5.5 at practically every sportsbook.

You could see why people like New York here. Oakland has historically under-achieved, while the Jets have made some interesting additions, namely Chris Johnson and Eric Decker in the offense.

However, we don't feel safe backing either one of these teams in all honesty. Neither has impressed us in preseason, so we're going to wait and see how things pan out for the Jets and Raiders in the first month or so before going the ATS route.

Therefore, the 'Under' is looking most appealing in this situation. We'll have to very inexperienced quarterbacks in Geno Smith and Derek Carr leading their respective offenses, so it's fair to question whether or not these two offenses will be able to have much success. As a result, we're going with the 'Under' for our free NFL picks.

NFL Picks: 'Under' 40 at 5Dimes

 

New York enters as the favorites in the NFL odds. An opening spread of 4.5 and has been bet up slightly to five, as it's clear very few people want to take a chance on the Raiders. Some sportsbooks even offer a number of 5.5, for you risk-takers.

Points could be hard to come by on Sunday and that's reflected in the lines as well. The current O/U is at 39.5.

New York in 2013-14 regular season: 8-8 SU, 9-6-1 ATS, -6.1 margin of victory

Oakland in 2013-14 regular season: 4-12 SU, 7-8-1 ATS, -8.2 margin of victory

Let's start with the Jets. They've named Geno Smith their number one quarterback, with a more than capable backup in Michael Vick involved too. At running back, Chris Johnson is the starter, but should split carries with Chris Ivory and Bilal Powell.

Then there's Eric Decker, who was signed over the offseason to be the team's number one wideout option. Jeremy Kerley is slotted in opposite Decker, but we're paying special attention to rookie tight end Jace Amaro, who could very well emerge as the team's top receiving threat at some point in the season. Defensively, we know the Jets will play tough under Rex Ryan.

The visiting Raiders have Matt Schaub as their starting QB, Maurice Jones-Drew and Darren McFadden in the backfield, and James Jones and Rod Streater as their top wideouts. Jones-Drew figures to handle most of the touches after out-performing McFadden during the preseason.

It's going to be interesting seeing where the action comes in on this game. The Jets were the more reliable team to back with your ATS picks last season, but we're not sold on the notion that they've actually improved much over the offseason. Then there's the Raiders, who have historically under-performed year in and year out.

With that said, a total play could certainly be in order for this Week 1 showdown.

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