NFL Picks: Bet Jaguars +5 vs. Banged up Bills Week 7 in London

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, October 20, 2015 4:01 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 20, 2015 4:01 PM UTC

The Bills fly to London after a tough loss to Cincinnati while the Jags continue their shame spiral with a loss to the Texans. We review what the NFL odds makers are offering & cash in our NFL picks.

The Walking Wounded
The Bills are licking their wounds after a 34-21 loss at home to the Bengals but more importantly their player list resembles more of a MASH unit than it does an NFL locker room. As the team sits at 3-3 straight up and against the spread they prepare to meet what should be easy pickins’ for a team as once highly touted as Rex Ryan’s retooled, new-look Buffalo Bills. But the injury bug hasn’t just bitten the Bills, it has swallowed them whole. Let’s take a peek at who is doubtful for Sunday afternoon’s meeting in London.

Tyrod Taylor’s status is questionable after watching backup EJ Manuel battle the Bengals last week in a losing effort.

Defensive tackle Kyle William suffered a knee injury last week and will not be suited up on Sunday. He will be replaced by either Stefan Charles or Corbin Bryant.

Wideout Sammy Watkins is still hobbled by an ankle and calf injury. He could very well be out for Sunday’s game but even if he does play he will be far from one-hundred percent.

Percy Harvin’s hip may have sprung another leak as the veteran wide receiver was held out in Week 6 and could be on the sidelines for Sunday.

Starting right tackle Seantrel Henderson is undergoing concussion protocol after he was injured last week and his prospects of seeing action in London dimmed when the team signed offensive lineman Jordan Mills from the Lions’ practice squad.

Running back Karlos Williams has been amongst the missing as he is receiving treatment for a concussion suffered over two weeks ago and has not taken the field since.

Wide receiver Marquise Goodwin as yet another Buffalo receiver on the injured list after sustaining a rib injury last week.


Toothless Jaguars
Any team that ranks 30th in points scored and allowed is not headed for any postseason dates, except perhaps luxuriating on a tropical island with an umbrella drink in hand. This season is like so many others in which the Jags have bombed. However if there is any silver lining or ray of hope in Jacksonville it is the play of third overall pick in the 2014 draft Blake Bortles. The young signal caller has passed for over 300 yards and seven touchdowns in his last two games but his four interceptions illustrate he still has to work on his decision making process.

Big numbers don’t necessarily translate into positive results as the Jaguars were run over by the Texans 31-20 last week in a game that the NFL odds makers viewed as a veritable coin flip. Jacksonville ranks 12th in passing but only 24th in rushing which gives them an unbalanced and predictable scoring attack. If you have been courageous, or foolish, enough to include them in your NFL picks this season then you would be -2.4 units on the season and not a big fan of what’s going on down south.


NFL Picks
The game is being played in neutral territory which might actually be a boon to the Jags who no doubt are hearing the jeers from their increasingly agitated fans. The betting public will be ignoring the litany of injuries to Buffalo’s roster and viewing this game as just another reason to fade the routinely disappointing Jaguars.

But I see this differently. The head start that the NFL odds makers grant a miserable team can overcome a variety of sins. The Bills are banged up to put it mildly and Bortles looks like he’s beginning to find his groove. Below are a few reasons to include the Jags in your NFL picks:

Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss.

Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.

Bills are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home.

NFL Picks: Play the Jaguars +5 at Heritage

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