NFL Picks: Bet 49ers & Seahawks to Go 'Under' Despite the Low Total

Swinging Johnson

Sunday, November 22, 2015 2:45 AM GMT

The NFC West features a clash between the 49ers and the Seahawks to throw down in Seattle this Sunday afternoon. But here we don't care who wins or loses but whether this one goes high or low so let's review the NFL odds and make our selection.

Power Outage in San Francisco
There's a whole lot doing in the Bay Area with a quarterback controversy that ended this past week with Colin Kaepernick being banished to the sidelines while reclamation project Blaine Gabbert is handed the keys to the car. It's not much of an engine to be sure as the San Francisco 49ers defeated the Falcons last week due to limiting the Falcons to only 16 points while the offense barely eclipsed that moderate total notching a 17-16 win over a team that the NFL odds makers installed as a 10-point home favorite. It was a stunning win for the Niners and a staggering loss for the Falcons. Gabbert was solid with two touchdown passes and 185 yards through the air but did throw two picks which revealed his "ring rust" if you will.

Let's not forget that San Francisco is coming off a bye week and has had a few weeks to heal. Unfortunately that will not make any difference to Karlos Hyde and most likely Anquan Boldin, both of whom have been sidelined due to injuries, and will be watching in their civvies. The 49ers offense is not expected to generate much traction against a Seattle defense that may no longer be the old Legion of Boom but are still holding teams to under 20 points per game. Perhaps that statement could be made no matter what team the Niners face as they own the worst points scored average in the league with only 14 per game.

 

Seahawks Swooning
You're not a happy camper if you have been backing the Seattle Seahawks in your NFL picks this year as Seattle has not only disappointed their fans with a 4-5 record but have torched bettors with a 2-6-1 ATS mark. However winning and losing is not what we are considering in this analysis. The Seahawks currently own the 4th best rushing game, courtesy of Marshawn Lynch, Russell Wilson and a surprise contribution by the rookie out of Central Michigan Thomas Rawls. In total Seattle has chewed up 1231 yards of rushing for an average of 4.7 yards per carry.

The Seahawks have stumbled from the 11th ranked offense last season to the 26th headed into Week 11. Many believed that the addition of superstar tight end Jimmy Graham would have boosted the Seattle output well into the top 10 but lo and behold it has been head-scratching how they have failed to integrate Graham into the offense. Instead the absence of All-Pro center Max Unger, whom the Seahawks dealt for Graham, has been felt particularly by Wilson who no longer has a steel wall up the middle. That has hurt everything from the passing game to the rushing game to one less leader in the locker room.

 

Final Analysis
I see nothing but low-scoring in this game and the only way this goes over is if the 49ers fumble away in their own zone on multiple occasions or if Gabbert gets happy feet in the pocket and decides to toss the ball to avoid the beating he is certainly going to be taking this weekend.

I am not concerned about San Francisco's offense, especially limited by Hyde's absence as well as Boldin most likely sitting this one out. Even if Boldin does play he won't be 100 percent and trying to get your timing and rhythm back against a secondary like Seattle's probably isn't the best way to reintroduce yourself to the offense. I realize the NFL odds makers are hanging this game low but what did you expect?

NFL Picks: Play Under 40 at GTBets

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