NFL Picks: Best Week 6 Bets Still on the NFL Odds Board

Darin Zank

Sunday, October 18, 2015 1:13 PM UTC

Sunday, Oct. 18, 2015 1:13 PM UTC

We're not necessarily big on betting underdogs in the NFL for Week 6, it just works out that way. Here's our NFL picks trifecta for this week to pad your pockets. 

Underrated Redskins Getting A Touchdown
Many bettors might think Washington is a troubled outfit, at 2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS this season, after falling at Atlanta last week 25-19 in overtime on a Falcons pick-six. But that was the first time this season the Redskins had been outgained and/or outrushed. And quarterback Kirk Cousins, while owning a negative TD/INT ratio, has completed 68 percent of his throws this season.

The Jets, meanwhile, are off to a 3-1 start to this season, 3-1 against the NFL odds, and coming off their bye week. Last time out, two weeks ago, they beat the Dolphins in London 27-14. But perhaps more important is who they play next week; hated rival New England. Watch out for that trap.

This is a match-up between two fairly even teams; both can play a little defense, both like to run the ball, and both are being run by caretaker quarterbacks. But the home team seems a little overrated on the spread in this spot. Washington covered as a seven-point dog at Atlanta last week, and the Falcons are more explosive offensively than are the Jets. We like the dog and the points.

Free NFL Pick: Redskins +7 (-110) at Heritage

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Panthers Plus Points Out West
Carolina almost seems like a one-man attack, as quarterback Cam Newton leads his team back toward the playoffs, but it's also a fundamentally sound outfit, making hay by running the ball, playing tough D and limiting mistakes. The Panthers are 4-0 on the season, 3-1 ATS, after winning at Tampa two weeks ago 37-23. They then had last week off.

Carolina only ranks 25th in the league in total offense, but fourth in rushing at 132 yards per game, and 10th in total defense. They also hope to get LB Luke Kuechly back Sunday, after he's missed recent action with a concussion.

Seattle is only 2-3 SU, 1-3-1 ATS, after blowing a 17-point lead and falling at Cincinnati last week in overtime 27-24. And just before that the Seahawks beat a hapless Detroit team by just 13-10. Also, running back/heart-n-soul Marshawn Lynch is still bothered by a sore hamstring, although it looks like he'll try to go Sunday.

This isn't quite the Seattle machine that pounded the league the last couple of seasons. And while the Seahawks defeated Carolina in last year's playoffs 31-17, covering as 13-point favorites, that was only a 14-10 game heading into the fourth quarter.

We like the Panthers here, plus the points.

Free NFL Pick: Carolina +7 (-105) at Pinnacle

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Giants as Divisional Road Dogs
New York opened this season 0-2, with close losses to Dallas and Atlanta. But the G-Men have won three in a row since, including a 30-27 decision over San Francisco Sunday night. Before that they won a tough game up at Buffalo, and just before that they beat Washington 32-21.

Philly, meanwhile, is about as erratic as any outfit in the league. The Eagles can beat teams like the Jets and Saints, or lose to teams like the Cowboys and Redskins. And while it rocked New Orleans last week 39-17, Philadelphia has been outgained and outrushed by three of five opponents this season.

The Eagles rank dead last in the league in average time of possession, and that doesn't bode well in our mind; so far this NFL betting season teams that lose time of possession are just 27-47 against the spreads. Look for New York to control the clock Monday night, and come away with the victory.

Free NFL Pick: Giants +210 on the moneyline at JustBet

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