NFL Picks: The Best Value Plays Currently on the Week 7 Odds Board

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, October 20, 2015 7:50 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 20, 2015 7:50 PM UTC

We move ahead on the professional football card and look to find the best value when researching the betting odds from the sportsbooks to make the cash with our sports picks this weekend.

For whatever reason, have not had as much success with these NFL picks in the last several weeks at 8-7 and when looking at what we have to offer, I am confident we can start doing as well as we are with our False Favorites and Top Dog article and video here at

The present listed NFL odds are courtesy of SBR's Live Odds Board 


Saints and Colts Ring Up Points
New Orleans and Indianapolis have been major disappointments this season. Both defenses rank in the lower 15 percent of yards allowed (32nd and 29th respectively) and while Drew Brees and Andrew Luck are not having banner campaigns, without significant pass rushes, both have the ability to keep the scoreboard operators busy. For my money, this has shootout written all over it, with two defenses in search of identity and two offenses after watching film of the opposing team, they will feel very confident about moving the ball and scoring points. The Saints are 7-0 OVER in road games in the first half of the season and the Colts are 40-21 OVER off a home loss.
NFL Pick: Saints & Colts OVER 52 at WagerWeb


San Diego Finally Comes Through Despite What the Numbers Say
As you are well aware, as a NFL handicapper, I am big on researching the numbers to be on the right side. Part of my arsenal includes understanding systems and angles and what value they offer, but sometimes you have to go with other facts. San Diego as last look was down to a four-point favorite and the reasons are many and include the Chargers inability to finish games, having a recent 3-9 ATS record against Oakland and this series having the underdog on a 11-1 ATS tear. Yet, I cannot overlook what appears to be the single biggest element in this matchup. Philip Rivers and San Diego leads the NFL in passing at 346.5 yards per game and Oakland is 31st against the pass. In the Bolts last five contests, they have faced four of the Top 9 defenses in points allowed. The Raiders do not present such a challenge and San Diego wins by 10.
NFL Pick: Chargers -4 (-103) at Pinnacle


Carolina Covers and Moves to 6-0
More than one website had Carolina as the most overrated unbeaten team going into their game with Seattle last week. After being the first team in 11 years to have four drives of at least 80 yards against Seattle defense, I think the 'experts' have been debunked again. I took the Panthers here last week and will again this week. Cam Newton's club has won nine consecutive regular season contests and posted 7-2 ATS record. Philadelphia played better game against the New York Giants, but hardly complete. With Carolina at -3.5 at home on Monday night and the Eagles 0-8 ATS off back to back SU and ATS wins, facing non-division foe playing with revenge, it's the 'Cats by 8.
NFL Pick: Panthers -3.5 (+104) at Pinnacle

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