Thursday night has arrived which means that it’s Halloween, and it’s time for the start of Week 9 of the NFL season. The NFL odds are ripe for the taking right now, and at Bet365, I have found two player performance props that I think have even more value than the spread tonight. Let’s see if you agree on these two young playmakers’ yards totals.
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Gio Bernard (58.5 total yards)
Young Mr. Bernard was quiet last week, but when the game got out of hand, the Bengals chose to rest their key offensive starters. Because of that, the Bengals’ offensive skill players should be rested and ready for this short week, as they head into Miami. The Dolphins have been awful against opposing running backs this season, and it’s going to continue tonight with Bernard.
Miami is averaging giving up over 150 total yards of offense per game to opposing running backs, and at 58.5, Bernard’s yards total is a steal. It will only take him one big play to rack up enough yards to eclipse this total, and with how the Dolphins are playing, I expect Cincinnati to gain a lead and hold it.
Bernard got 59 total yards two weeks ago on only 12 touches, and if you don’t count the blowout this past week, Bernard has touched the ball at least 12 times in all five of the Bengals games between weeks 3-7. I see another 15 to+uches for Bernard here, which would mean he would only have to average 4 yards per touch to eclipse 58.5 total yards.
My Pick: Gio Bernard ‘Over’ 58.5 total yards (-120)
Mike Wallace (67.5 receiving yards)
The $60 million dollar man has been anything but worth it so far this season, as Mike Wallace seems to have zero chemistry with Ryan Tannehill. Both parties are to blame for Wallace’s lack of production however. Tannehill has been far from accurate this season, and even when Wallace seems to be open, Tannehill is looking the other way it seems.
Wallace also is to blame. He has seven drops on the season, which ties him for the most in the NFL, and he is averaging only 4 catches per game because of it. With the loss of Brandon Gibson, opposing secondaries are going to key in on Wallace even more, and with the Bengals coming into town, that’s something they do well.
Even with the loss of Leon Hall for the season, the Bengals have Pacman Jones, Terrence Newman and Dre Kirkpatrick, all of whom are capable of locking down Wallace here on a short week. Even though they are at home, the Dolphins won’t be able to have time to get the ball down field against one of the league’s best defensive lines as well.
So far this season, Tannehill has been sacked more times than any other quarterback, and that is yet another reason why Wallace is likely struggling. When your QB doesn’t have time to take even a three-step drop before getting pressured, it’s going to be hard to get the ball downfield to one of the fastest players in the NFL. Accuracy issues aside, Tannehill has a strong arm, he just can’t get the time this season he needs to utilize it. I’m backing Wallace and the 'Under' with my NFL picks tonight. I just can’t see the Bengals’ talented defense letting him beat them.
My Pick: Mike Wallace ‘Under’ 68.5 receiving yards (-120)