NFL Picks: Bengals vs. Bills in Week 6

Steven Suarez

Wednesday, October 9, 2013 3:28 PM GMT

Wednesday, Oct. 9, 2013 3:28 PM GMT

Inconsistency has been the name of the game for the Bills. Can they turn the corner and get a home win over the Bengals in Week 6?

For more info on this week's football games, read our Daily NFL Week 6 Betting Odds Report !

Odds Overview

With news that E.J. Manuel is out, this NFL betting lines continue to charge upwards. The Bengals are favored by anywhere from 7.5 to 9 points depending on the sportsbook you use, while the total is at 42.

Both teams have been making money for backers, with Cincinnati at 3-2 SU and 3-1-1 ATS and Buffalo at 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS. The Bengals have yet to win on the road, while the Bills are 2-1 at Ralph Wilson Stadium so far this season. Both are good details to keep in mind before placing your sports picks in this game.

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Cincinnati Bengals

It's been a tough road for the Bengals, but they've managed things well through the first five weeks of the season. They've overcome New England, Green Bay, and Pittsburgh at home, with their two losses coming on the road in Chicago (24-21) and Cleveland (17-6).

Last week's win over the Patriots should give the team a lot of confidence though, especially with how dominant Cincinnati's defense looked.

Not very often will you see Tom Brady and his offense held to 248 total yards. Brady wasn't able to throw a touchdown pass for the first time in what seems like forever, and the Bengals defense sacked him four times and picked him off once.

Obviously Cincinnati's offense wasn't too impressive either, but they did enough to win. BenJarvus Green-Ellis and Giovani Bernard had 129 yards and a touchdown between them, making up for Andy Dalton's forgettable numbers.

It was truly all about defense in Week 6. Can the Bengals keep that momentum up and finally get their first road win of the 2013/14 season?

Buffalo Bills

Starting quarterback E.J. Manuel is hurt, and the Bills weren't convinced at all that Jeff Tuel could properly run the offense. So, in steps Thad Lewis to take over as the signal caller.

Lewis is an undrafted 25-year old who played college ball at Duke and was a member of the team's practice squad before getting the call up. With very little experience playing at this level, it's going to be interesting to see how he fares against Cincinnati.

The good news is the Bills have had close to 10 days to prepare for this game after playing on Thursday night last week. It didn't go so well though, with Buffalo losing 37-24 to the upstart Browns on the road.

The running game continued to do well in spite of Manuel going down and Tuel's failures (8-of-20 for 80 yards and an INT), as C.J. Spiller had eight carries for 66 yards and a score and Fred Jackson rushed 17 times for 53 yards and two touchdowns.

Look for another hefty dosage of those two against the Bengals, as Lewis tries to adjust to the true fast pace of an NFL regular season game.

Week 6 Pick

As we mentioned, if there's one thing the Bills do well, it's running the football. They're ranked third in the NFL in rushing, so we should be seeing a heavy focus on the ground attack again in Week 6.

Meanwhile, the Bengals have been struggling offensively, ranking #21 in total offense (#19 in rushing, #18 in passing). They have however been better on the other side of the ball, ranking #8 in total defense.

With Cincinnati far from being explosive up until this point and uncertainty over how Lewis will handle the occasion, we feel more comfortable backing a low-scoring final here in Buffalo. So, we'll be recommending that readers take the ‘Under’ 42 as one of their NFL picks this Sunday.

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NFL Pick: Bet the Bengals/Bills game UNDER 42 points, at William Hill

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